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Insights Last Updated: March 3, 2021 - 19:18 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,373,246 packs. 16,866,230 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,069,164 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,859,223 1.14 22.9%
Epi 744,181 0.22 4.4%
Leg 193,662 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 633,222 packs. 3,166,110 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,260,397 3.57 71.4%
Rar 725,501 1.146 22.9%
Epi 143,043 0.226 4.5%
Leg 37,169 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.7

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,702 packs. 28,510 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 20,333 3.566 71.3%
Rar 6,549 1.149 23.0%
Epi 1,284 0.225 4.5%
Leg 344 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.3

TGT

Total: 13,616 packs. 68,080 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 48,669 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,643 1.149 23.0%
Epi 3,002 0.22 4.4%
Leg 766 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.3

TOG

Total: 115,244 packs. 576,220 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 412,591 3.58 71.6%
Rar 132,029 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,268 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,332 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 120,078 packs. 600,390 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 430,148 3.582 71.6%
Rar 137,485 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,245 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,512 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 297,425 packs. 1,487,125 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,065,275 3.582 71.6%
Rar 340,174 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,121 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,555 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 360,381 packs. 1,801,905 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,290,704 3.581 71.6%
Rar 412,041 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,448 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,712 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,603 packs. 1,433,015 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,025,568 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,594 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,324 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,529 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,734 packs. 1,398,670 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,000,951 3.578 71.6%
Rar 320,034 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,630 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,055 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 255,624 packs. 1,278,120 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 915,038 3.58 71.6%
Rar 292,268 1.143 22.9%
Epi 56,101 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,713 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 173,455 packs. 867,275 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 621,124 3.581 71.6%
Rar 198,004 1.142 22.8%
Epi 38,149 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,998 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 211,564 packs. 1,057,820 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 757,236 3.579 71.6%
Rar 242,112 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,299 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,173 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 179,295 packs. 896,475 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 641,485 3.578 71.6%
Rar 205,322 1.145 22.9%
Epi 39,434 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,234 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.1

DoD

Total: 129,471 packs. 647,355 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 463,238 3.578 71.6%
Rar 147,932 1.143 22.9%
Epi 28,384 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,801 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.3

Outland

Total: 112,173 packs. 560,865 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 401,532 3.58 71.6%
Rar 128,351 1.144 22.9%
Epi 24,631 0.22 4.4%
Leg 6,351 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.6

SA

Total: 113,797 packs. 568,985 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 407,512 3.581 71.6%
Rar 130,001 1.142 22.8%
Epi 24,942 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,530 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

DMF

Total: 85,072 packs. 425,360 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 304,518 3.58 71.6%
Rar 97,290 1.144 22.9%
Epi 18,701 0.22 4.4%
Leg 4,851 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 471,461 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 226,446 0.07 1.3%
Rar 195,797 0.06 1.2%
Epi 36,750 0.01 0.2%
Leg 12,468 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 95,240 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 45,085 0.071 1.4%
Rar 38,368 0.061 1.2%
Epi 8,228 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,559 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.6

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 940 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 440 0.077 1.5%
Rar 388 0.068 1.4%
Epi 81 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.005 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.4

TGT

Total: 2,129 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,002 0.074 1.5%
Rar 888 0.065 1.3%
Epi 178 0.013 0.3%
Leg 61 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.5

TOG

Total: 17,301 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,282 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,211 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,344 0.012 0.2%
Leg 464 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,499 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,359 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,305 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,384 0.012 0.2%
Leg 451 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

UNG

Total: 38,689 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,135 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,250 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,214 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,090 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 48,048 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,966 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,315 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,663 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,104 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,491 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,476 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,238 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,920 0.01 0.2%
Leg 857 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,869 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,196 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,969 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,849 0.01 0.2%
Leg 855 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

BDP

Total: 35,158 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,981 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,792 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,583 0.01 0.2%
Leg 802 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,295 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,858 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,730 0.01 0.2%
Leg 532 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,525 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,642 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,078 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,132 0.01 0.2%
Leg 673 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,872 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,483 0.064 1.3%
Rar 10,050 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,777 0.01 0.2%
Leg 562 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,413 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,379 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,350 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,295 0.01 0.2%
Leg 389 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 15,383 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,351 0.066 1.3%
Rar 6,518 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,154 0.01 0.2%
Leg 360 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

SA

Total: 17,522 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,045 0.079 1.6%
Rar 6,831 0.06 1.2%
Epi 1,254 0.011 0.2%
Leg 392 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.4

DMF

Total: 13,909 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,300 0.086 1.7%
Rar 5,366 0.063 1.3%
Epi 959 0.011 0.2%
Leg 284 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.3