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Insights Last Updated: October 21, 2019 - 20:12 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,710,161 packs. 13,550,805 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,696,497 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,100,822 1.14 22.9%
Epi 598,113 0.22 4.4%
Leg 155,373 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.3

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 529,465 packs. 2,647,325 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,889,636 3.569 71.4%
Rar 606,554 1.146 22.9%
Epi 119,844 0.226 4.5%
Leg 31,291 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.1

GC

Total: 294 packs. 1,470 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,063 3.616 72.3%
Rar 336 1.143 22.9%
Epi 59 0.201 4.0%
Leg 12 0.041 0.8%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 40.8

GvG

Total: 3,319 packs. 16,595 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,830 3.564 71.3%
Rar 3,815 1.149 23.0%
Epi 744 0.224 4.5%
Leg 206 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 62.1

TGT

Total: 12,690 packs. 63,450 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 45,352 3.574 71.5%
Rar 14,607 1.151 23.0%
Epi 2,787 0.22 4.4%
Leg 704 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.5

TOG

Total: 114,479 packs. 572,395 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 409,862 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,149 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,102 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,282 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 118,899 packs. 594,495 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 425,934 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,136 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,977 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,448 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 295,484 packs. 1,477,420 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,058,339 3.582 71.6%
Rar 337,956 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,685 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,440 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 358,032 packs. 1,790,160 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,282,292 3.582 71.6%
Rar 409,348 1.143 22.9%
Epi 77,945 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,575 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 284,563 packs. 1,422,815 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,018,253 3.578 71.6%
Rar 325,268 1.143 22.9%
Epi 62,884 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,410 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 275,961 packs. 1,379,805 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 987,492 3.578 71.6%
Rar 315,700 1.144 22.9%
Epi 60,785 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,828 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 251,151 packs. 1,255,755 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 899,055 3.58 71.6%
Rar 287,161 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,100 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,439 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 167,878 packs. 839,390 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 601,120 3.581 71.6%
Rar 191,661 1.142 22.8%
Epi 36,939 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,670 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

ROS

Total: 175,130 packs. 875,650 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 626,887 3.58 71.6%
Rar 200,356 1.144 22.9%
Epi 38,320 0.219 4.4%
Leg 10,087 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Uldum

Total: 122,816 packs. 614,080 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 439,382 3.578 71.6%
Rar 140,775 1.146 22.9%
Epi 26,942 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,981 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.8

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 375,778 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 179,272 0.07 1.3%
Rar 156,751 0.06 1.2%
Epi 29,584 0.01 0.2%
Leg 10,171 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 80,048 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 37,797 0.071 1.4%
Rar 32,145 0.061 1.2%
Epi 6,992 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,114 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.9

GC

Total: 57 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.099 2.0%
Rar 22 0.075 1.5%
Epi 5 0.017 0.3%
Leg 1 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.4

GvG

Total: 571 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 265 0.08 1.6%
Rar 238 0.072 1.4%
Epi 46 0.014 0.3%
Leg 22 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.6

TGT

Total: 1,960 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 922 0.073 1.5%
Rar 820 0.065 1.3%
Epi 165 0.013 0.3%
Leg 53 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.2

TOG

Total: 17,198 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,237 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,170 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,332 0.012 0.2%
Leg 459 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,314 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,267 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,233 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,371 0.012 0.2%
Leg 443 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,427 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,017 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,139 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,191 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,080 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,714 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,820 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,165 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,638 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,091 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 38,180 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,326 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,107 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,898 0.01 0.2%
Leg 849 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,378 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,968 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,769 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,807 0.01 0.2%
Leg 834 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 34,521 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,674 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,527 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,534 0.01 0.2%
Leg 786 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 22,594 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,897 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,517 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,668 0.01 0.2%
Leg 512 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

ROS

Total: 23,456 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,219 0.064 1.3%
Rar 9,955 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,730 0.01 0.2%
Leg 552 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 16,360 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,834 0.064 1.3%
Rar 6,944 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,207 0.01 0.2%
Leg 375 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1