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Insights Last Updated: October 19, 2020 - 17:16 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,231,743 packs. 16,158,715 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,562,695 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,697,467 1.14 22.9%
Epi 712,994 0.22 4.4%
Leg 185,559 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 616,823 packs. 3,084,115 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,201,722 3.569 71.4%
Rar 706,751 1.146 22.9%
Epi 139,409 0.226 4.5%
Leg 36,233 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.7

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,398 packs. 26,990 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 19,254 3.567 71.3%
Rar 6,193 1.147 22.9%
Epi 1,215 0.225 4.5%
Leg 328 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.8

TGT

Total: 13,363 packs. 66,815 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 47,764 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,359 1.149 23.0%
Epi 2,943 0.22 4.4%
Leg 749 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.1

TOG

Total: 114,995 packs. 574,975 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 411,701 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,746 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,212 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,316 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,622 packs. 598,110 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 428,522 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,965 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,141 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,482 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 297,196 packs. 1,485,980 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,064,453 3.582 71.6%
Rar 339,913 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,071 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,543 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 360,102 packs. 1,800,510 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,289,691 3.581 71.6%
Rar 411,727 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,396 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,696 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,474 packs. 1,432,370 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,025,105 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,446 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,298 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,521 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,658 packs. 1,398,290 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,000,682 3.578 71.6%
Rar 319,947 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,613 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,048 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 255,239 packs. 1,276,195 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 913,669 3.58 71.6%
Rar 291,826 1.143 22.9%
Epi 56,007 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,693 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 173,100 packs. 865,500 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 619,843 3.581 71.6%
Rar 197,609 1.142 22.8%
Epi 38,072 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,976 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 211,088 packs. 1,055,440 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 755,558 3.579 71.6%
Rar 241,561 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,188 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,133 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 178,206 packs. 891,030 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 637,592 3.578 71.6%
Rar 204,092 1.145 22.9%
Epi 39,184 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,162 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

DoD

Total: 128,613 packs. 643,065 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 460,161 3.578 71.6%
Rar 146,974 1.143 22.9%
Epi 28,185 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,745 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.2

Outland

Total: 108,460 packs. 542,300 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 388,281 3.58 71.6%
Rar 124,079 1.144 22.9%
Epi 23,795 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,145 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.7

SA

Total: 82,616 packs. 413,080 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 295,852 3.581 71.6%
Rar 94,386 1.142 22.8%
Epi 18,090 0.219 4.4%
Leg 4,752 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 449,615 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 215,273 0.07 1.3%
Rar 187,203 0.06 1.2%
Epi 35,166 0.01 0.2%
Leg 11,973 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 92,928 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 43,979 0.071 1.4%
Rar 37,432 0.061 1.2%
Epi 8,029 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,488 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 885 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 416 0.077 1.5%
Rar 362 0.067 1.3%
Epi 76 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

TGT

Total: 2,081 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 978 0.073 1.5%
Rar 871 0.065 1.3%
Epi 174 0.013 0.3%
Leg 58 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.3

TOG

Total: 17,259 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,262 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,194 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,340 0.012 0.2%
Leg 463 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,425 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,322 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,275 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,382 0.012 0.2%
Leg 446 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,654 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,119 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,234 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,213 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,088 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 48,014 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,954 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,297 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,660 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,103 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,476 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,469 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,231 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,919 0.01 0.2%
Leg 857 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,856 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,189 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,965 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,848 0.01 0.2%
Leg 854 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

BDP

Total: 35,102 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,957 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,768 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,575 0.01 0.2%
Leg 802 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,360 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,267 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,837 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,725 0.01 0.2%
Leg 531 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,450 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,605 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,047 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,129 0.01 0.2%
Leg 669 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,719 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,406 0.064 1.3%
Rar 9,992 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,767 0.01 0.2%
Leg 554 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,313 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,332 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,311 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,282 0.01 0.2%
Leg 388 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 14,848 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,098 0.065 1.3%
Rar 6,287 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,111 0.01 0.2%
Leg 352 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

SA

Total: 13,187 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 6,891 0.083 1.7%
Rar 5,078 0.061 1.2%
Epi 931 0.011 0.2%
Leg 287 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.5