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Insights Last Updated: February 21, 2019 - 23:09 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,189,551 packs. 10,947,766 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,833,702 3.58 71.6%
Rar 2,505,125 1.14 22.9%
Epi 483,296 0.22 4.4%
Leg 125,643 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 438,436 packs. 2,192,185 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,564,431 3.568 71.4%
Rar 502,347 1.146 22.9%
Epi 99,333 0.227 4.5%
Leg 26,074 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.5

GvG

Total: 2,603 packs. 13,015 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,281 3.566 71.3%
Rar 2,997 1.151 23.0%
Epi 578 0.222 4.4%
Leg 159 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 61.1

TGT

Total: 12,036 packs. 60,180 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,995 3.572 71.4%
Rar 13,871 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,645 0.22 4.4%
Leg 669 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

TOG

Total: 113,809 packs. 569,045 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 407,483 3.58 71.6%
Rar 130,367 1.145 22.9%
Epi 24,950 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,245 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 118,001 packs. 590,005 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 422,760 3.583 71.7%
Rar 135,108 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,747 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,390 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 291,941 packs. 1,459,711 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,045,653 3.582 71.6%
Rar 333,903 1.144 22.9%
Epi 63,912 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,243 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 353,349 packs. 1,766,745 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,265,536 3.582 71.6%
Rar 403,988 1.143 22.9%
Epi 76,910 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,311 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 279,053 packs. 1,395,265 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 998,465 3.578 71.6%
Rar 318,991 1.143 22.9%
Epi 61,696 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,113 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 255,859 packs. 1,279,295 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 915,515 3.578 71.6%
Rar 292,727 1.144 22.9%
Epi 56,323 0.22 4.4%
Leg 14,730 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

BDP

Total: 219,436 packs. 1,097,180 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 785,463 3.579 71.6%
Rar 250,951 1.144 22.9%
Epi 48,138 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,628 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 105,028 packs. 525,140 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 376,120 3.581 71.6%
Rar 119,875 1.141 22.8%
Epi 23,064 0.22 4.4%
Leg 6,081 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.9

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 304,723 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 145,249 0.07 1.3%
Rar 126,839 0.06 1.2%
Epi 24,230 0.01 0.2%
Leg 8,405 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 66,765 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 31,444 0.072 1.4%
Rar 26,707 0.061 1.2%
Epi 5,909 0.013 0.3%
Leg 2,705 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.2

GvG

Total: 446 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 209 0.08 1.6%
Rar 183 0.07 1.4%
Epi 36 0.014 0.3%
Leg 18 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.9

TGT

Total: 1,853 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 869 0.072 1.4%
Rar 777 0.065 1.3%
Epi 159 0.013 0.3%
Leg 48 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

TOG

Total: 17,095 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,186 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,129 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,324 0.012 0.2%
Leg 456 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,170 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,208 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,172 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,352 0.011 0.2%
Leg 438 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 37,926 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,779 0.061 1.2%
Rar 15,942 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,143 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,062 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 47,071 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,504 0.064 1.3%
Rar 19,906 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,592 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,069 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 37,513 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,004 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,816 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,856 0.01 0.2%
Leg 837 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 34,625 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,668 0.065 1.3%
Rar 14,570 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,621 0.01 0.2%
Leg 766 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 30,108 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 14,534 0.066 1.3%
Rar 12,688 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,206 0.01 0.2%
Leg 680 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 14,151 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 6,844 0.065 1.3%
Rar 5,949 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,032 0.01 0.2%
Leg 326 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1