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Insights Last Updated: January 24, 2020 - 18:14 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,897,623 packs. 14,488,115 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,366,953 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,315,370 1.14 22.9%
Epi 639,368 0.22 4.4%
Leg 166,424 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 557,816 packs. 2,789,080 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,990,988 3.569 71.4%
Rar 639,052 1.146 22.9%
Epi 126,159 0.226 4.5%
Leg 32,881 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.9

GC

Total: 702 packs. 3,510 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,525 3.597 71.9%
Rar 796 1.134 22.7%
Epi 156 0.222 4.4%
Leg 33 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 47.0

GvG

Total: 3,748 packs. 18,740 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,364 3.566 71.3%
Rar 4,307 1.149 23.0%
Epi 838 0.224 4.5%
Leg 231 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 61.6

TGT

Total: 12,804 packs. 64,020 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 45,762 3.574 71.5%
Rar 14,733 1.151 23.0%
Epi 2,813 0.22 4.4%
Leg 712 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

TOG

Total: 114,607 packs. 573,035 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 410,315 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,301 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,125 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,294 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,071 packs. 595,355 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 426,553 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,331 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,013 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,458 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 295,729 packs. 1,478,645 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,059,210 3.582 71.6%
Rar 338,236 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,743 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,456 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 358,239 packs. 1,791,195 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,283,028 3.581 71.6%
Rar 409,590 1.143 22.9%
Epi 77,989 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,588 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 284,900 packs. 1,424,500 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,019,454 3.578 71.6%
Rar 325,642 1.143 22.9%
Epi 62,969 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,435 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 277,956 packs. 1,389,780 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 994,603 3.578 71.6%
Rar 318,012 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,220 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,945 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 253,180 packs. 1,265,900 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 906,328 3.58 71.6%
Rar 289,456 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,557 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,559 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 170,879 packs. 854,395 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 611,879 3.581 71.6%
Rar 195,080 1.142 22.8%
Epi 37,597 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,839 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

ROS

Total: 192,653 packs. 963,265 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 689,579 3.579 71.6%
Rar 220,466 1.144 22.9%
Epi 42,142 0.219 4.4%
Leg 11,078 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 157,041 packs. 785,205 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 561,821 3.578 71.6%
Rar 179,948 1.146 22.9%
Epi 34,506 0.22 4.4%
Leg 8,930 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.9

DoD

Total: 98,298 packs. 491,490 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 351,544 3.576 71.5%
Rar 112,420 1.144 22.9%
Epi 21,541 0.219 4.4%
Leg 5,985 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.9

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 401,594 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 191,721 0.07 1.3%
Rar 167,512 0.06 1.2%
Epi 31,548 0.01 0.2%
Leg 10,813 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 84,301 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 39,870 0.071 1.4%
Rar 33,865 0.061 1.2%
Epi 7,316 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,250 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.8

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.041 0.8%
Rar 22 0.031 0.6%
Epi 5 0.007 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.8

GvG

Total: 646 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 298 0.08 1.6%
Rar 269 0.072 1.4%
Epi 54 0.014 0.3%
Leg 25 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.7

TGT

Total: 1,978 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 930 0.073 1.5%
Rar 828 0.065 1.3%
Epi 166 0.013 0.3%
Leg 54 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.2

TOG

Total: 17,216 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,242 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,177 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,335 0.012 0.2%
Leg 462 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,343 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,285 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,241 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,374 0.012 0.2%
Leg 443 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,461 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,032 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,153 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,194 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,082 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,743 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,831 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,181 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,639 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,092 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 38,231 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,356 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,122 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,901 0.01 0.2%
Leg 852 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,622 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,079 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,871 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,828 0.01 0.2%
Leg 844 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 34,799 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,802 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,648 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,555 0.01 0.2%
Leg 794 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,013 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,104 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,690 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,697 0.01 0.2%
Leg 522 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

ROS

Total: 25,896 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,371 0.064 1.3%
Rar 10,989 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,924 0.01 0.2%
Leg 612 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 20,978 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,076 0.064 1.3%
Rar 8,845 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,571 0.01 0.2%
Leg 486 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 13,309 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 6,416 0.065 1.3%
Rar 5,611 0.057 1.1%
Epi 989 0.01 0.2%
Leg 293 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0