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Insights Last Updated: September 21, 2020 - 19:16 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,205,415 packs. 16,027,075 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,468,515 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,667,293 1.14 22.9%
Epi 707,224 0.22 4.4%
Leg 184,043 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 613,476 packs. 3,067,380 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,189,748 3.569 71.4%
Rar 702,902 1.146 22.9%
Epi 138,672 0.226 4.5%
Leg 36,058 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.8

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,396 packs. 26,980 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 19,247 3.567 71.3%
Rar 6,191 1.147 22.9%
Epi 1,214 0.225 4.5%
Leg 328 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.8

TGT

Total: 13,324 packs. 66,620 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 47,622 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,316 1.15 23.0%
Epi 2,935 0.22 4.4%
Leg 747 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.1

TOG

Total: 114,993 packs. 574,965 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 411,693 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,744 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,212 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,316 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,605 packs. 598,025 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 428,466 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,944 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,135 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,480 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 297,184 packs. 1,485,920 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,064,411 3.582 71.6%
Rar 339,901 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,066 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,542 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 360,084 packs. 1,800,420 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,289,631 3.581 71.6%
Rar 411,707 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,387 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,695 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,429 packs. 1,432,145 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,024,940 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,398 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,289 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,518 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,641 packs. 1,398,205 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,000,622 3.578 71.6%
Rar 319,929 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,607 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,047 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 255,222 packs. 1,276,110 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 913,608 3.58 71.6%
Rar 291,807 1.143 22.9%
Epi 56,002 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,693 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 172,960 packs. 864,800 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 619,353 3.581 71.6%
Rar 197,445 1.142 22.8%
Epi 38,038 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,964 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 210,960 packs. 1,054,800 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 755,095 3.579 71.6%
Rar 241,421 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,164 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,120 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 176,843 packs. 884,215 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 632,709 3.578 71.6%
Rar 202,541 1.145 22.9%
Epi 38,879 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,086 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

DoD

Total: 127,046 packs. 635,230 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 454,531 3.578 71.6%
Rar 145,175 1.143 22.9%
Epi 27,869 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,655 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.3

Outland

Total: 106,389 packs. 531,945 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 380,884 3.58 71.6%
Rar 121,699 1.144 22.9%
Epi 23,337 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,025 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.6

SA

Total: 65,073 packs. 325,365 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 233,110 3.582 71.6%
Rar 74,280 1.141 22.8%
Epi 14,243 0.219 4.4%
Leg 3,732 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 446,027 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 213,532 0.07 1.3%
Rar 185,688 0.06 1.2%
Epi 34,921 0.01 0.2%
Leg 11,886 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 92,446 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 43,753 0.071 1.4%
Rar 37,223 0.061 1.2%
Epi 7,991 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,479 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 885 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 416 0.077 1.5%
Rar 362 0.067 1.3%
Epi 76 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

TGT

Total: 2,074 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 974 0.073 1.5%
Rar 868 0.065 1.3%
Epi 174 0.013 0.3%
Leg 58 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.4

TOG

Total: 17,259 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,262 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,194 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,340 0.012 0.2%
Leg 463 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,419 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,321 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,272 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,381 0.012 0.2%
Leg 445 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,651 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,118 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,233 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,212 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,088 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 48,013 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,954 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,297 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,659 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,103 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,468 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,463 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,229 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,919 0.01 0.2%
Leg 857 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,855 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,188 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,965 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,848 0.01 0.2%
Leg 854 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

BDP

Total: 35,099 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,955 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,767 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,575 0.01 0.2%
Leg 802 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,333 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,253 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,827 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,724 0.01 0.2%
Leg 529 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,432 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,594 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,042 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,127 0.01 0.2%
Leg 669 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,553 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,330 0.064 1.3%
Rar 9,918 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,758 0.01 0.2%
Leg 547 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,105 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,224 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,228 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,271 0.01 0.2%
Leg 382 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 14,541 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 6,954 0.065 1.3%
Rar 6,154 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,087 0.01 0.2%
Leg 346 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.3

SA

Total: 10,836 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 5,744 0.088 1.8%
Rar 4,087 0.063 1.3%
Epi 774 0.012 0.2%
Leg 231 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.5