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Insights Last Updated: July 17, 2019 - 17:11 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,514,517 packs. 12,572,585 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,996,826 3.58 71.6%
Rar 2,876,657 1.14 22.9%
Epi 554,863 0.22 4.4%
Leg 144,239 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 496,820 packs. 2,484,100 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,773,021 3.569 71.4%
Rar 569,186 1.146 22.9%
Epi 112,459 0.226 4.5%
Leg 29,434 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.2

GC

Total: 287 packs. 1,435 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,038 3.617 72.3%
Rar 326 1.136 22.7%
Epi 59 0.206 4.1%
Leg 12 0.042 0.8%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 41.8

GvG

Total: 3,319 packs. 16,595 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,830 3.564 71.3%
Rar 3,815 1.149 23.0%
Epi 744 0.224 4.5%
Leg 206 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 62.1

TGT

Total: 12,558 packs. 62,790 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 44,880 3.574 71.5%
Rar 14,454 1.151 23.0%
Epi 2,759 0.22 4.4%
Leg 697 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.5

TOG

Total: 114,471 packs. 572,355 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 409,832 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,141 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,100 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,282 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 118,883 packs. 594,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 425,879 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,117 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,972 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,447 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 295,458 packs. 1,477,290 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,058,251 3.582 71.6%
Rar 337,925 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,678 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,436 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 357,879 packs. 1,789,395 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,281,744 3.582 71.6%
Rar 409,175 1.143 22.9%
Epi 77,912 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,564 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 284,387 packs. 1,421,935 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,017,624 3.578 71.6%
Rar 325,073 1.143 22.9%
Epi 62,842 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,396 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 272,081 packs. 1,360,405 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 973,616 3.578 71.6%
Rar 311,268 1.144 22.9%
Epi 59,896 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,625 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 244,275 packs. 1,221,375 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 874,469 3.58 71.6%
Rar 279,292 1.143 22.9%
Epi 53,573 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,041 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 158,251 packs. 791,255 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 566,682 3.581 71.6%
Rar 180,645 1.142 22.8%
Epi 34,800 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,128 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

ROS

Total: 155,848 packs. 779,240 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 557,960 3.58 71.6%
Rar 178,240 1.144 22.9%
Epi 34,069 0.219 4.4%
Leg 8,971 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 349,066 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 166,419 0.07 1.3%
Rar 145,564 0.06 1.2%
Epi 27,576 0.01 0.2%
Leg 9,507 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 75,082 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 35,365 0.071 1.4%
Rar 30,159 0.061 1.2%
Epi 6,597 0.013 0.3%
Leg 2,961 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.0

GC

Total: 55 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 28 0.098 2.0%
Rar 21 0.073 1.5%
Epi 5 0.017 0.3%
Leg 1 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.5

GvG

Total: 571 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 265 0.08 1.6%
Rar 238 0.072 1.4%
Epi 46 0.014 0.3%
Leg 22 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.6

TGT

Total: 1,942 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 911 0.073 1.5%
Rar 813 0.065 1.3%
Epi 165 0.013 0.3%
Leg 53 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.2

TOG

Total: 17,196 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,235 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,170 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,332 0.012 0.2%
Leg 459 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,311 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,266 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,232 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,370 0.012 0.2%
Leg 443 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,425 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,017 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,138 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,191 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,079 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,708 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,817 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,162 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,638 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,091 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 38,169 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,320 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,104 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,897 0.01 0.2%
Leg 848 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 36,867 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,726 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,546 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,776 0.01 0.2%
Leg 819 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 33,492 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,186 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,102 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,443 0.01 0.2%
Leg 761 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 21,296 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,271 0.065 1.3%
Rar 8,973 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,570 0.01 0.2%
Leg 482 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

ROS

Total: 20,952 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,012 0.064 1.3%
Rar 8,906 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,546 0.01 0.2%
Leg 488 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1