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Insights Last Updated: July 29, 2021 - 14:29 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,460,483 packs. 17,302,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,382,168 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,958,281 1.14 22.9%
Epi 763,269 0.22 4.4%
Leg 198,697 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 640,048 packs. 3,200,240 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,284,759 3.57 71.4%
Rar 733,330 1.146 22.9%
Epi 144,588 0.226 4.5%
Leg 37,563 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.7

GC

Total: 890 packs. 4,450 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 3,196 3.591 71.8%
Rar 1,013 1.138 22.8%
Epi 199 0.224 4.5%
Leg 42 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 47.2

GvG

Total: 6,086 packs. 30,430 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 21,706 3.567 71.3%
Rar 6,986 1.148 23.0%
Epi 1,371 0.225 4.5%
Leg 367 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.3

TGT

Total: 13,627 packs. 68,135 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 48,706 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,658 1.149 23.0%
Epi 3,005 0.221 4.4%
Leg 766 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.2

TOG

Total: 115,282 packs. 576,410 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 412,729 3.58 71.6%
Rar 132,072 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,275 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,334 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 120,103 packs. 600,515 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 430,240 3.582 71.6%
Rar 137,510 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,250 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,515 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 297,500 packs. 1,487,500 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,065,536 3.582 71.6%
Rar 340,266 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,138 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,560 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 360,448 packs. 1,802,240 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,290,938 3.581 71.6%
Rar 412,120 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,465 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,717 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,673 packs. 1,433,365 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,025,818 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,673 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,341 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,533 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,774 packs. 1,398,870 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,001,094 3.578 71.6%
Rar 320,076 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,641 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,059 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 255,826 packs. 1,279,130 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 915,755 3.58 71.6%
Rar 292,507 1.143 22.9%
Epi 56,143 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,725 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 173,751 packs. 868,755 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 622,190 3.581 71.6%
Rar 198,342 1.142 22.8%
Epi 38,208 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,015 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 211,777 packs. 1,058,885 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 757,978 3.579 71.6%
Rar 242,366 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,350 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,191 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Uldum

Total: 179,523 packs. 897,615 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 642,297 3.578 71.6%
Rar 205,585 1.145 22.9%
Epi 39,483 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,250 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.1

DoD

Total: 129,920 packs. 649,600 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 464,839 3.578 71.6%
Rar 148,455 1.143 22.9%
Epi 28,477 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,829 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.3

Outland

Total: 114,027 packs. 570,135 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 408,193 3.58 71.6%
Rar 130,457 1.144 22.9%
Epi 25,023 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,462 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.7

SA

Total: 117,222 packs. 586,110 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 419,853 3.582 71.6%
Rar 133,831 1.142 22.8%
Epi 25,695 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,731 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

DMF

Total: 92,355 packs. 461,775 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 330,601 3.58 71.6%
Rar 105,578 1.143 22.9%
Epi 20,298 0.22 4.4%
Leg 5,298 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Barrens

Total: 65,651 packs. 328,255 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 235,740 3.591 71.8%
Rar 74,456 1.134 22.7%
Epi 14,319 0.218 4.4%
Leg 3,740 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 484,108 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 232,810 0.07 1.4%
Rar 200,915 0.06 1.2%
Epi 37,645 0.01 0.2%
Leg 12,738 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 96,327 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 45,627 0.071 1.4%
Rar 38,798 0.061 1.2%
Epi 8,308 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,594 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.6

GC

Total: 86 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 46 0.052 1.0%
Rar 30 0.034 0.7%
Epi 8 0.009 0.2%
Leg 2 0.002 0.0%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.2

GvG

Total: 980 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 455 0.075 1.5%
Rar 408 0.067 1.3%
Epi 86 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.005 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.1

TGT

Total: 2,131 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,002 0.074 1.5%
Rar 889 0.065 1.3%
Epi 179 0.013 0.3%
Leg 61 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.5

TOG

Total: 17,308 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,285 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,214 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,345 0.012 0.2%
Leg 464 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,502 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,361 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,305 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,385 0.012 0.2%
Leg 451 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

UNG

Total: 38,703 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,138 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,258 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,216 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,091 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 48,055 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,969 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,318 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,663 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,105 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,501 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,482 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,242 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,920 0.01 0.2%
Leg 857 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,874 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,199 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,971 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,849 0.01 0.2%
Leg 855 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

BDP

Total: 35,191 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,997 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,807 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,584 0.01 0.2%
Leg 803 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,490 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,332 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,888 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,735 0.01 0.2%
Leg 535 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,561 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,657 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,095 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,136 0.01 0.2%
Leg 673 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,909 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,498 0.064 1.3%
Rar 10,070 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,779 0.01 0.2%
Leg 562 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,485 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,416 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,378 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,302 0.01 0.2%
Leg 389 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 15,609 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,464 0.065 1.3%
Rar 6,615 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,167 0.01 0.2%
Leg 363 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

SA

Total: 17,985 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,276 0.079 1.6%
Rar 7,021 0.06 1.2%
Epi 1,284 0.011 0.2%
Leg 404 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.4

DMF

Total: 14,883 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,746 0.084 1.7%
Rar 5,803 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,030 0.011 0.2%
Leg 304 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.3

Barrens

Total: 9,528 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 4,860 0.074 1.5%
Rar 3,805 0.058 1.2%
Epi 669 0.01 0.2%
Leg 194 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0