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Insights Last Updated: December 15, 2018 - 15:09 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,071,961 packs. 10,359,805 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,413,262 3.58 71.6%
Rar 2,370,542 1.14 22.9%
Epi 457,094 0.22 4.4%
Leg 118,907 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 406,592 packs. 2,032,960 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,450,828 3.568 71.4%
Rar 465,851 1.146 22.9%
Epi 92,069 0.226 4.5%
Leg 24,212 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.5

GvG

Total: 2,461 packs. 12,305 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,773 3.565 71.3%
Rar 2,836 1.152 23.0%
Epi 544 0.221 4.4%
Leg 152 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 61.8

TGT

Total: 11,945 packs. 59,725 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,680 3.573 71.5%
Rar 13,763 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,624 0.22 4.4%
Leg 658 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.1

TOG

Total: 113,188 packs. 565,940 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 405,273 3.581 71.6%
Rar 129,655 1.145 22.9%
Epi 24,805 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,207 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.8

MSG

Total: 117,452 packs. 587,260 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 420,804 3.583 71.7%
Rar 134,473 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,621 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,362 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 288,588 packs. 1,442,940 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,033,628 3.582 71.6%
Rar 330,096 1.144 22.9%
Epi 63,165 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,051 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 349,795 packs. 1,748,975 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,252,871 3.582 71.6%
Rar 399,883 1.143 22.9%
Epi 76,102 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,119 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 275,003 packs. 1,375,015 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 983,966 3.578 71.6%
Rar 314,340 1.143 22.9%
Epi 60,802 0.221 4.4%
Leg 15,907 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.8

WW

Total: 246,045 packs. 1,230,225 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 880,407 3.578 71.6%
Rar 281,456 1.144 22.9%
Epi 54,163 0.22 4.4%
Leg 14,199 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

BDP

Total: 196,420 packs. 982,100 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 703,067 3.579 71.6%
Rar 224,641 1.144 22.9%
Epi 43,060 0.219 4.4%
Leg 11,332 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

RASTA

Total: 64,472 packs. 322,360 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 230,965 3.582 71.6%
Rar 73,548 1.141 22.8%
Epi 14,139 0.219 4.4%
Leg 3,708 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 288,610 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 137,596 0.07 1.3%
Rar 120,145 0.06 1.2%
Epi 22,924 0.01 0.2%
Leg 7,945 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 62,155 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29,276 0.072 1.4%
Rar 24,847 0.061 1.2%
Epi 5,514 0.014 0.3%
Leg 2,518 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.2

GvG

Total: 422 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 198 0.08 1.6%
Rar 172 0.07 1.4%
Epi 34 0.014 0.3%
Leg 18 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 7.3

TGT

Total: 1,836 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 864 0.072 1.4%
Rar 771 0.065 1.3%
Epi 156 0.013 0.3%
Leg 45 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

TOG

Total: 16,981 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,132 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,085 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,315 0.012 0.2%
Leg 449 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,072 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,168 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,131 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,340 0.011 0.2%
Leg 433 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 37,446 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,564 0.061 1.2%
Rar 15,738 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,098 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,046 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 46,532 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,234 0.064 1.3%
Rar 19,691 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,547 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,060 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 36,948 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,723 0.064 1.3%
Rar 15,589 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,814 0.01 0.2%
Leg 822 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 33,311 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,044 0.065 1.3%
Rar 14,022 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,513 0.01 0.2%
Leg 732 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 27,040 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,061 0.066 1.3%
Rar 11,411 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,958 0.01 0.2%
Leg 610 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 8,867 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 4,332 0.067 1.3%
Rar 3,688 0.057 1.1%
Epi 635 0.01 0.2%
Leg 212 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.3