Insights Last Updated: May 21, 2018 - 20:05 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 1,533,742 packs. 7,668,712 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 5,489,258 3.58 71.6%
Rar 1,754,547 1.14 22.9%
Epi 337,620 0.22 4.4%
Leg 87,287 0.06 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.9

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 266,243 packs. 1,331,215 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 950,685 3.571 71.4%
Rar 304,597 1.144 22.9%
Epi 60,295 0.226 4.5%
Leg 15,638 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.7

GvG

Total: 2,158 packs. 10,790 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,696 3.566 71.3%
Rar 2,487 1.152 23.0%
Epi 477 0.221 4.4%
Leg 130 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.2

TGT

Total: 11,781 packs. 58,905 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,111 3.574 71.5%
Rar 13,567 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,581 0.219 4.4%
Leg 646 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.8

TOG

Total: 113,013 packs. 565,065 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 404,652 3.581 71.6%
Rar 129,458 1.146 22.9%
Epi 24,759 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,196 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.8

MSG

Total: 117,236 packs. 586,180 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 420,031 3.583 71.7%
Rar 134,231 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,581 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,337 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.1

UNG

Total: 279,174 packs. 1,395,870 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 999,962 3.582 71.6%
Rar 319,345 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,060 0.219 4.4%
Leg 15,503 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.5

KFT

Total: 324,196 packs. 1,620,980 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,161,410 3.582 71.6%
Rar 370,586 1.143 22.9%
Epi 70,362 0.217 4.3%
Leg 18,622 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Kobolds

Total: 248,238 packs. 1,241,190 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 888,280 3.578 71.6%
Rar 283,727 1.143 22.9%
Epi 54,864 0.221 4.4%
Leg 14,319 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 171,703 packs. 858,517 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 614,431 3.578 71.6%
Rar 196,549 1.145 22.9%
Epi 37,641 0.219 4.4%
Leg 9,896 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 212,521 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 101,306 0.07 1.3%
Rar 88,554 0.06 1.2%
Epi 16,982 0.01 0.2%
Leg 5,679 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 40,620 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 19,222 0.072 1.4%
Rar 16,203 0.061 1.2%
Epi 3,669 0.014 0.3%
Leg 1,526 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

GvG

Total: 361 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 167 0.077 1.5%
Rar 148 0.069 1.4%
Epi 30 0.014 0.3%
Leg 16 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 7.4

TGT

Total: 1,807 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 852 0.072 1.4%
Rar 759 0.064 1.3%
Epi 154 0.013 0.3%
Leg 42 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

TOG

Total: 16,956 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,121 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,076 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,313 0.012 0.2%
Leg 446 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.9

MSG

Total: 17,017 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,143 0.069 1.4%
Rar 7,108 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,335 0.011 0.2%
Leg 431 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 36,132 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,962 0.061 1.2%
Rar 15,192 0.054 1.1%
Epi 2,985 0.011 0.2%
Leg 993 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 42,879 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 20,542 0.063 1.3%
Rar 18,124 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,242 0.01 0.2%
Leg 971 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 33,554 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,098 0.065 1.3%
Rar 14,156 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,551 0.01 0.2%
Leg 749 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 23,195 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,199 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,788 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,703 0.01 0.2%
Leg 505 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.9