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Insights Last Updated: July 10, 2020 - 05:15 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,109,519 packs. 15,547,595 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,125,254 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,557,690 1.14 22.9%
Epi 686,136 0.22 4.4%
Leg 178,515 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 601,025 packs. 3,005,125 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,145,291 3.569 71.4%
Rar 688,633 1.146 22.9%
Epi 135,864 0.226 4.5%
Leg 35,337 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.8

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,074 packs. 25,370 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,097 3.567 71.3%
Rar 5,828 1.149 23.0%
Epi 1,135 0.224 4.5%
Leg 310 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 61.1

TGT

Total: 13,102 packs. 65,510 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 46,826 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,069 1.15 23.0%
Epi 2,885 0.22 4.4%
Leg 730 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

TOG

Total: 114,984 packs. 574,920 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 411,663 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,731 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,210 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,316 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,391 packs. 596,955 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 427,700 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,694 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,087 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,474 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 296,952 packs. 1,484,760 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,063,597 3.582 71.6%
Rar 339,627 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,012 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,524 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 359,392 packs. 1,796,960 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,287,151 3.581 71.6%
Rar 410,910 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,247 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,652 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,006 packs. 1,430,030 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,023,414 3.578 71.6%
Rar 326,912 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,206 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,498 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 278,941 packs. 1,394,705 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 998,126 3.578 71.6%
Rar 319,131 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,444 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,004 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 254,602 packs. 1,273,010 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 911,402 3.58 71.6%
Rar 291,098 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,857 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,653 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 172,355 packs. 861,775 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 617,185 3.581 71.6%
Rar 196,740 1.141 22.8%
Epi 37,915 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,935 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 210,199 packs. 1,050,995 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 752,366 3.579 71.6%
Rar 240,547 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,005 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,077 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 176,069 packs. 880,345 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 629,963 3.578 71.6%
Rar 201,651 1.145 22.9%
Epi 38,695 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,036 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

DoD

Total: 125,490 packs. 627,450 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 448,941 3.578 71.6%
Rar 143,432 1.143 22.9%
Epi 27,524 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,553 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.2

Outland

Total: 95,147 packs. 475,735 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 340,687 3.581 71.6%
Rar 108,794 1.143 22.9%
Epi 20,875 0.219 4.4%
Leg 5,379 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.5

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 430,893 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 205,781 0.07 1.3%
Rar 179,786 0.06 1.2%
Epi 33,805 0.01 0.2%
Leg 11,521 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 90,611 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,893 0.071 1.4%
Rar 36,459 0.061 1.2%
Epi 7,839 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,420 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 808 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 376 0.074 1.5%
Rar 334 0.066 1.3%
Epi 69 0.014 0.3%
Leg 29 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

TGT

Total: 2,035 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 955 0.073 1.5%
Rar 852 0.065 1.3%
Epi 172 0.013 0.3%
Leg 56 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.3

TOG

Total: 17,256 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,260 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,193 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,340 0.012 0.2%
Leg 463 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,383 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,303 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,259 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,377 0.012 0.2%
Leg 444 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,619 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,104 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,220 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,210 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,085 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,917 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,906 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,258 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,654 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,099 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,441 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,204 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,914 0.01 0.2%
Leg 856 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,746 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,139 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,923 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,838 0.01 0.2%
Leg 846 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 35,014 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,915 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,736 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,565 0.01 0.2%
Leg 798 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,241 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,212 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,785 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,716 0.01 0.2%
Leg 528 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,336 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,552 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,001 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,119 0.01 0.2%
Leg 664 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,431 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,272 0.064 1.3%
Rar 9,866 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,749 0.01 0.2%
Leg 544 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 16,937 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,139 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,163 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,255 0.01 0.2%
Leg 380 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 13,086 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 6,285 0.066 1.3%
Rar 5,511 0.058 1.2%
Epi 983 0.01 0.2%
Leg 307 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2