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Insights Last Updated: May 20, 2019 - 09:11 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,425,296 packs. 12,126,480 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,677,416 3.58 71.6%
Rar 2,774,744 1.14 22.9%
Epi 535,138 0.22 4.4%
Leg 139,182 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 477,198 packs. 2,385,990 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,702,867 3.568 71.4%
Rar 546,759 1.146 22.9%
Epi 108,019 0.226 4.5%
Leg 28,345 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.4

GC

Total: 283 packs. 1,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,026 3.625 72.5%
Rar 320 1.131 22.6%
Epi 57 0.201 4.0%
Leg 12 0.042 0.8%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 42.4

GvG

Total: 3,120 packs. 15,600 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,125 3.566 71.3%
Rar 3,582 1.148 23.0%
Epi 698 0.224 4.5%
Leg 195 0.063 1.3%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 62.5

TGT

Total: 12,371 packs. 61,855 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 44,198 3.573 71.5%
Rar 14,247 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,722 0.22 4.4%
Leg 688 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

TOG

Total: 114,050 packs. 570,250 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 408,332 3.58 71.6%
Rar 130,654 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,006 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,258 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 118,681 packs. 593,405 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 425,168 3.582 71.6%
Rar 135,892 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,915 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,430 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 294,630 packs. 1,473,150 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,055,280 3.582 71.6%
Rar 336,976 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,495 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,399 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 357,114 packs. 1,785,570 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,279,019 3.582 71.6%
Rar 408,291 1.143 22.9%
Epi 77,736 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,524 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 283,016 packs. 1,415,080 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,012,695 3.578 71.6%
Rar 323,505 1.143 22.9%
Epi 62,545 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,335 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 269,686 packs. 1,348,430 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 965,005 3.578 71.6%
Rar 308,552 1.144 22.9%
Epi 59,395 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,478 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 238,580 packs. 1,192,900 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 854,021 3.58 71.6%
Rar 272,832 1.144 22.9%
Epi 52,328 0.219 4.4%
Leg 13,719 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 148,316 packs. 741,580 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 531,092 3.581 71.6%
Rar 169,325 1.142 22.8%
Epi 32,580 0.22 4.4%
Leg 8,583 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.9

ROS

Total: 108,251 packs. 541,255 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 387,588 3.58 71.6%
Rar 123,809 1.144 22.9%
Epi 23,642 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,216 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 337,114 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 160,773 0.07 1.3%
Rar 140,503 0.06 1.2%
Epi 26,643 0.01 0.2%
Leg 9,195 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 72,318 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 34,040 0.071 1.4%
Rar 29,019 0.061 1.2%
Epi 6,368 0.013 0.3%
Leg 2,891 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.1

GC

Total: 54 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 28 0.099 2.0%
Rar 21 0.074 1.5%
Epi 4 0.014 0.3%
Leg 1 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.5

GvG

Total: 538 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 251 0.08 1.6%
Rar 224 0.072 1.4%
Epi 42 0.013 0.3%
Leg 21 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.7

TGT

Total: 1,911 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 897 0.073 1.5%
Rar 800 0.065 1.3%
Epi 163 0.013 0.3%
Leg 51 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.1

TOG

Total: 17,137 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,207 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,146 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,328 0.012 0.2%
Leg 456 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,278 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,257 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,219 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,362 0.011 0.2%
Leg 440 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,295 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,951 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,092 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,177 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,075 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 47,593 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,758 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,119 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,632 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,084 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 38,009 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,251 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,029 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,884 0.01 0.2%
Leg 845 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 36,517 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,566 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,386 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,755 0.01 0.2%
Leg 810 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 32,692 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 15,803 0.066 1.3%
Rar 13,765 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,380 0.01 0.2%
Leg 744 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 20,045 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,676 0.065 1.3%
Rar 8,447 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,468 0.01 0.2%
Leg 454 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

ROS

Total: 14,727 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,088 0.065 1.3%
Rar 6,236 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,080 0.01 0.2%
Leg 323 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0