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PityTracker is ready for Descent of Dragons! You can open your packs now. Remember to try the Batch Add Page for longer opening sessions.

Happy pack openings, everyone! And if you're looking for new decks to play, check out our sister site at hearthstonemetadecks.com. :-)

Insights Last Updated: December 14, 2019 - 07:13 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,840,639 packs. 14,203,195 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,163,176 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,250,150 1.14 22.9%
Epi 626,785 0.22 4.4%
Leg 163,084 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 545,563 packs. 2,727,815 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,947,157 3.569 71.4%
Rar 625,038 1.146 22.9%
Epi 123,415 0.226 4.5%
Leg 32,205 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.0

GC

Total: 479 packs. 2,395 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,732 3.616 72.3%
Rar 539 1.125 22.5%
Epi 101 0.211 4.2%
Leg 23 0.048 1.0%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 48.0

GvG

Total: 3,510 packs. 17,550 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,514 3.565 71.3%
Rar 4,036 1.15 23.0%
Epi 782 0.223 4.5%
Leg 218 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 62.1

TGT

Total: 12,690 packs. 63,450 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 45,352 3.574 71.5%
Rar 14,607 1.151 23.0%
Epi 2,787 0.22 4.4%
Leg 704 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.5

TOG

Total: 114,593 packs. 572,965 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 410,263 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,285 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,124 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,293 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,022 packs. 595,110 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 426,379 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,275 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,002 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,454 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 295,686 packs. 1,478,430 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,059,060 3.582 71.6%
Rar 338,183 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,734 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,453 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 358,207 packs. 1,791,035 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,282,919 3.582 71.6%
Rar 409,551 1.143 22.9%
Epi 77,981 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,584 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 284,581 packs. 1,422,905 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,018,317 3.578 71.6%
Rar 325,287 1.143 22.9%
Epi 62,888 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,413 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 276,533 packs. 1,382,665 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 989,528 3.578 71.6%
Rar 316,352 1.144 22.9%
Epi 60,911 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,874 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 251,677 packs. 1,258,385 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 900,946 3.58 71.6%
Rar 287,746 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,217 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,476 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 168,704 packs. 843,520 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 604,085 3.581 71.6%
Rar 192,599 1.142 22.8%
Epi 37,121 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,715 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

ROS

Total: 188,274 packs. 941,370 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 673,899 3.579 71.6%
Rar 215,437 1.144 22.9%
Epi 41,195 0.219 4.4%
Leg 10,839 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Uldum

Total: 150,168 packs. 750,840 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 537,222 3.577 71.5%
Rar 172,049 1.146 22.9%
Epi 33,027 0.22 4.4%
Leg 8,542 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.9

DoD

Total: 70,952 packs. 354,760 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 253,803 3.577 71.5%
Rar 81,166 1.144 22.9%
Epi 15,500 0.218 4.4%
Leg 4,291 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.5

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 393,420 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 187,755 0.07 1.3%
Rar 164,137 0.06 1.2%
Epi 30,928 0.01 0.2%
Leg 10,600 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 82,366 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 38,899 0.071 1.4%
Rar 33,106 0.061 1.2%
Epi 7,176 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,185 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.8

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.061 1.2%
Rar 22 0.046 0.9%
Epi 5 0.01 0.2%
Leg 2 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.2

GvG

Total: 603 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 280 0.08 1.6%
Rar 251 0.072 1.4%
Epi 49 0.014 0.3%
Leg 23 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.6

TGT

Total: 1,960 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 922 0.073 1.5%
Rar 820 0.065 1.3%
Epi 165 0.013 0.3%
Leg 53 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.2

TOG

Total: 17,216 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,242 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,177 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,335 0.012 0.2%
Leg 462 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,333 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,278 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,239 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,373 0.012 0.2%
Leg 443 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,451 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,028 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,149 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,193 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,081 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,738 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,829 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,179 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,639 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,091 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 38,184 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,329 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,107 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,898 0.01 0.2%
Leg 850 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,445 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,998 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,796 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,814 0.01 0.2%
Leg 837 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 34,600 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,710 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,564 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,539 0.01 0.2%
Leg 787 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 22,701 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,951 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,561 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,675 0.01 0.2%
Leg 514 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

ROS

Total: 25,271 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,073 0.064 1.3%
Rar 10,733 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,865 0.01 0.2%
Leg 600 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 20,037 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,625 0.064 1.3%
Rar 8,451 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,503 0.01 0.2%
Leg 458 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

DoD

Total: 9,457 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 4,562 0.064 1.3%
Rar 3,982 0.056 1.1%
Epi 699 0.01 0.2%
Leg 214 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0