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Insights Last Updated: November 24, 2020 - 19:16 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,298,509 packs. 16,492,545 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,801,786 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,773,768 1.14 22.9%
Epi 727,582 0.22 4.4%
Leg 189,409 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 622,230 packs. 3,111,150 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,221,069 3.57 71.4%
Rar 712,926 1.146 22.9%
Epi 140,602 0.226 4.5%
Leg 36,553 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.7

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,432 packs. 27,160 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 19,373 3.566 71.3%
Rar 6,235 1.148 23.0%
Epi 1,223 0.225 4.5%
Leg 329 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.6

TGT

Total: 13,410 packs. 67,050 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 47,931 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,416 1.15 23.0%
Epi 2,952 0.22 4.4%
Leg 751 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.0

TOG

Total: 115,118 packs. 575,590 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 412,139 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,886 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,242 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,323 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,850 packs. 599,250 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 429,340 3.582 71.6%
Rar 137,224 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,188 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,498 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 297,218 packs. 1,486,090 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,064,533 3.582 71.6%
Rar 339,937 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,075 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,545 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 360,119 packs. 1,800,595 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,289,752 3.581 71.6%
Rar 411,747 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,399 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,697 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,532 packs. 1,432,660 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,025,311 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,516 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,310 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,523 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,684 packs. 1,398,420 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,000,772 3.578 71.6%
Rar 319,978 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,620 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,050 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 255,392 packs. 1,276,960 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 914,213 3.58 71.6%
Rar 292,005 1.143 22.9%
Epi 56,044 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,698 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 173,185 packs. 865,925 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 620,146 3.581 71.6%
Rar 197,704 1.142 22.8%
Epi 38,095 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,980 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 211,378 packs. 1,056,890 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 756,573 3.579 71.6%
Rar 241,905 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,257 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,155 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 178,813 packs. 894,065 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 639,767 3.578 71.6%
Rar 204,783 1.145 22.9%
Epi 39,317 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,198 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

DoD

Total: 129,023 packs. 645,115 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 461,637 3.578 71.6%
Rar 147,430 1.143 22.9%
Epi 28,280 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,768 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.2

Outland

Total: 109,879 packs. 549,395 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 393,326 3.58 71.6%
Rar 125,724 1.144 22.9%
Epi 24,120 0.22 4.4%
Leg 6,225 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.7

SA

Total: 103,262 packs. 516,310 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 369,856 3.582 71.6%
Rar 117,926 1.142 22.8%
Epi 22,608 0.219 4.4%
Leg 5,920 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.3

DMF

Total: 37,194 packs. 185,970 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 133,203 3.581 71.6%
Rar 42,533 1.144 22.9%
Epi 8,075 0.217 4.3%
Leg 2,159 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.0

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 460,618 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 221,081 0.07 1.3%
Rar 191,385 0.06 1.2%
Epi 35,930 0.01 0.2%
Leg 12,222 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 93,682 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 44,337 0.071 1.4%
Rar 37,734 0.061 1.2%
Epi 8,100 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,511 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.6

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 891 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 418 0.077 1.5%
Rar 364 0.067 1.3%
Epi 78 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

TGT

Total: 2,089 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 981 0.073 1.5%
Rar 876 0.065 1.3%
Epi 174 0.013 0.3%
Leg 58 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.3

TOG

Total: 17,283 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,274 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,202 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,343 0.012 0.2%
Leg 464 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,469 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,344 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,292 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,383 0.012 0.2%
Leg 450 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

UNG

Total: 38,657 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,120 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,235 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,213 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,089 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 48,019 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,956 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,298 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,661 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,104 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,482 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,471 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,235 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,919 0.01 0.2%
Leg 857 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,861 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,192 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,967 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,848 0.01 0.2%
Leg 854 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

BDP

Total: 35,128 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,968 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,777 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,581 0.01 0.2%
Leg 802 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,375 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,276 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,841 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,727 0.01 0.2%
Leg 531 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,497 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,626 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,068 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,131 0.01 0.2%
Leg 672 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,798 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,446 0.064 1.3%
Rar 10,019 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,774 0.01 0.2%
Leg 559 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,359 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,350 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,331 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,290 0.01 0.2%
Leg 388 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 15,061 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,201 0.066 1.3%
Rar 6,380 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,126 0.01 0.2%
Leg 354 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

SA

Total: 16,119 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,377 0.081 1.6%
Rar 6,244 0.06 1.2%
Epi 1,141 0.011 0.2%
Leg 357 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.5

DMF

Total: 6,790 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 3,715 0.1 2.0%
Rar 2,500 0.067 1.3%
Epi 436 0.012 0.2%
Leg 139 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7