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Insights Last Updated: November 16, 2018 - 00:08 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 1,980,218 packs. 9,901,091 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,084,910 3.58 71.6%
Rar 2,265,728 1.14 22.9%
Epi 436,904 0.22 4.4%
Leg 113,549 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.3

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 390,839 packs. 1,954,196 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,394,719 3.569 71.4%
Rar 447,687 1.145 22.9%
Epi 88,531 0.227 4.5%
Leg 23,259 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.5

GvG

Total: 2,461 packs. 12,305 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,773 3.565 71.3%
Rar 2,836 1.152 23.0%
Epi 544 0.221 4.4%
Leg 152 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 61.8

TGT

Total: 11,945 packs. 59,725 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,680 3.573 71.5%
Rar 13,763 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,624 0.22 4.4%
Leg 658 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.1

TOG

Total: 113,086 packs. 565,430 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 404,913 3.581 71.6%
Rar 129,538 1.145 22.9%
Epi 24,777 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,202 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.8

MSG

Total: 117,405 packs. 587,025 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 420,638 3.583 71.7%
Rar 134,419 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,618 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,350 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.1

UNG

Total: 288,217 packs. 1,441,085 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,032,301 3.582 71.6%
Rar 329,671 1.144 22.9%
Epi 63,086 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,027 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 349,540 packs. 1,747,700 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,251,955 3.582 71.6%
Rar 399,598 1.143 22.9%
Epi 76,049 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,098 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 273,935 packs. 1,369,675 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 980,137 3.578 71.6%
Rar 313,123 1.143 22.9%
Epi 60,567 0.221 4.4%
Leg 15,848 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.9

WW

Total: 244,809 packs. 1,224,045 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 875,977 3.578 71.6%
Rar 280,069 1.144 22.9%
Epi 53,881 0.22 4.4%
Leg 14,118 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

BDP

Total: 187,981 packs. 939,905 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 672,817 3.579 71.6%
Rar 215,024 1.144 22.9%
Epi 41,227 0.219 4.4%
Leg 10,837 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 275,796 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 131,413 0.07 1.3%
Rar 114,809 0.06 1.2%
Epi 21,984 0.01 0.2%
Leg 7,590 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 59,792 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 28,171 0.072 1.4%
Rar 23,899 0.061 1.2%
Epi 5,309 0.014 0.3%
Leg 2,413 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.2

GvG

Total: 422 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 198 0.08 1.6%
Rar 172 0.07 1.4%
Epi 34 0.014 0.3%
Leg 18 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 7.3

TGT

Total: 1,836 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 864 0.072 1.4%
Rar 771 0.065 1.3%
Epi 156 0.013 0.3%
Leg 45 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

TOG

Total: 16,968 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,126 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,079 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,314 0.012 0.2%
Leg 449 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,042 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,155 0.069 1.4%
Rar 7,119 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,337 0.011 0.2%
Leg 431 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 37,388 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,537 0.061 1.2%
Rar 15,714 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,093 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,044 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 46,499 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,223 0.064 1.3%
Rar 19,675 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,543 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,058 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 36,822 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,667 0.064 1.3%
Rar 15,528 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,808 0.01 0.2%
Leg 819 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 33,123 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 15,950 0.065 1.3%
Rar 13,946 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,497 0.01 0.2%
Leg 730 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 25,904 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,522 0.067 1.3%
Rar 10,906 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,893 0.01 0.2%
Leg 583 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1