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Insights Last Updated: September 19, 2018 - 11:08 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 1,834,208 packs. 9,171,040 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 6,563,383 3.58 71.6%
Rar 2,098,460 1.14 22.9%
Epi 404,212 0.22 4.4%
Leg 104,985 0.06 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.2

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 332,302 packs. 1,661,510 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,186,083 3.569 71.4%
Rar 380,428 1.145 22.9%
Epi 75,314 0.227 4.5%
Leg 19,685 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.2

GvG

Total: 2,461 packs. 12,305 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,773 3.565 71.3%
Rar 2,836 1.152 23.0%
Epi 544 0.221 4.4%
Leg 152 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 61.8

TGT

Total: 11,811 packs. 59,055 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,217 3.574 71.5%
Rar 13,602 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,588 0.219 4.4%
Leg 648 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

TOG

Total: 113,046 packs. 565,230 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 404,767 3.581 71.6%
Rar 129,498 1.146 22.9%
Epi 24,765 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,200 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.8

MSG

Total: 117,240 packs. 586,200 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 420,046 3.583 71.7%
Rar 134,235 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,581 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,338 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.1

UNG

Total: 286,894 packs. 1,434,470 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,027,549 3.582 71.6%
Rar 328,164 1.144 22.9%
Epi 62,798 0.219 4.4%
Leg 15,959 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 336,858 packs. 1,684,290 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,206,590 3.582 71.6%
Rar 385,118 1.143 22.9%
Epi 73,207 0.217 4.3%
Leg 19,375 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 270,100 packs. 1,350,500 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 966,493 3.578 71.6%
Rar 308,699 1.143 22.9%
Epi 59,675 0.221 4.4%
Leg 15,633 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.9

WW

Total: 229,561 packs. 1,147,805 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 821,454 3.578 71.6%
Rar 262,608 1.144 22.9%
Epi 50,482 0.22 4.4%
Leg 13,261 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.8

BDP

Total: 133,935 packs. 669,675 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 479,411 3.579 71.6%
Rar 153,272 1.144 22.9%
Epi 29,258 0.218 4.4%
Leg 7,734 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 254,758 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 121,432 0.07 1.3%
Rar 106,170 0.06 1.2%
Epi 20,270 0.01 0.2%
Leg 6,886 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 50,898 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 24,049 0.072 1.4%
Rar 20,297 0.061 1.2%
Epi 4,539 0.014 0.3%
Leg 2,013 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.1

GvG

Total: 422 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 198 0.08 1.6%
Rar 172 0.07 1.4%
Epi 34 0.014 0.3%
Leg 18 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 7.3

TGT

Total: 1,811 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 854 0.072 1.4%
Rar 761 0.064 1.3%
Epi 154 0.013 0.3%
Leg 42 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

TOG

Total: 16,961 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,122 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,078 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,313 0.012 0.2%
Leg 448 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,018 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,144 0.069 1.4%
Rar 7,108 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,335 0.011 0.2%
Leg 431 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 37,204 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,448 0.061 1.2%
Rar 15,638 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,080 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,038 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 44,673 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 21,383 0.063 1.3%
Rar 18,895 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,386 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,009 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 36,385 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,432 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,363 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,780 0.01 0.2%
Leg 810 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 30,939 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 14,877 0.065 1.3%
Rar 13,073 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,315 0.01 0.2%
Leg 674 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.9

BDP

Total: 18,447 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,925 0.067 1.3%
Rar 7,785 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,334 0.01 0.2%
Leg 403 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0