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Insights Last Updated: January 17, 2021 - 01:16 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,328,075 packs. 16,640,375 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,907,482 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,807,667 1.14 22.9%
Epi 734,126 0.22 4.4%
Leg 191,100 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 627,618 packs. 3,138,090 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,240,332 3.57 71.4%
Rar 719,087 1.146 22.9%
Epi 141,802 0.226 4.5%
Leg 36,869 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.7

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,550 packs. 27,750 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 19,794 3.566 71.3%
Rar 6,374 1.148 23.0%
Epi 1,247 0.225 4.5%
Leg 335 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.4

TGT

Total: 13,483 packs. 67,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 48,191 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,497 1.149 23.0%
Epi 2,968 0.22 4.4%
Leg 759 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.3

TOG

Total: 115,236 packs. 576,180 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 412,563 3.58 71.6%
Rar 132,019 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,266 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,332 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,971 packs. 599,855 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 429,771 3.582 71.6%
Rar 137,364 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,217 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,503 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 297,356 packs. 1,486,780 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,065,032 3.582 71.6%
Rar 340,093 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,103 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,552 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 360,341 packs. 1,801,705 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,290,567 3.582 71.6%
Rar 411,989 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,441 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,708 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,596 packs. 1,432,980 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,025,544 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,586 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,322 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,528 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,726 packs. 1,398,630 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,000,924 3.578 71.6%
Rar 320,024 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,628 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,054 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 255,513 packs. 1,277,565 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 914,644 3.58 71.6%
Rar 292,141 1.143 22.9%
Epi 56,074 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,706 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 173,396 packs. 866,980 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 620,910 3.581 71.6%
Rar 197,940 1.142 22.8%
Epi 38,137 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,993 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 211,420 packs. 1,057,100 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 756,727 3.579 71.6%
Rar 241,951 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,265 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,157 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 179,113 packs. 895,565 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 640,846 3.578 71.6%
Rar 205,124 1.145 22.9%
Epi 39,384 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,211 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

DoD

Total: 129,247 packs. 646,235 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 462,442 3.578 71.6%
Rar 147,684 1.143 22.9%
Epi 28,326 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,783 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.2

Outland

Total: 111,447 packs. 557,235 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 398,931 3.58 71.6%
Rar 127,520 1.144 22.9%
Epi 24,477 0.22 4.4%
Leg 6,307 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.6

SA

Total: 108,966 packs. 544,830 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 390,207 3.581 71.6%
Rar 124,472 1.142 22.8%
Epi 23,902 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,249 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.3

DMF

Total: 52,306 packs. 261,530 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 187,212 3.579 71.6%
Rar 59,909 1.145 22.9%
Epi 11,392 0.218 4.4%
Leg 3,017 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 465,204 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 223,376 0.07 1.3%
Rar 193,240 0.06 1.2%
Epi 36,266 0.01 0.2%
Leg 12,322 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 94,479 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 44,720 0.071 1.4%
Rar 38,053 0.061 1.2%
Epi 8,167 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,539 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.6

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 911 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 428 0.077 1.5%
Rar 373 0.067 1.3%
Epi 79 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.6

TGT

Total: 2,105 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 989 0.073 1.5%
Rar 880 0.065 1.3%
Epi 176 0.013 0.3%
Leg 60 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.5

TOG

Total: 17,298 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,281 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,209 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,344 0.012 0.2%
Leg 464 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,485 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,353 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,298 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,384 0.012 0.2%
Leg 450 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

UNG

Total: 38,678 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,129 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,245 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,214 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,090 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 48,039 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,964 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,309 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,662 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,104 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,491 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,476 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,238 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,920 0.01 0.2%
Leg 857 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,868 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,196 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,968 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,849 0.01 0.2%
Leg 855 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

BDP

Total: 35,144 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,976 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,785 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,581 0.01 0.2%
Leg 802 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,409 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,290 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,857 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,730 0.01 0.2%
Leg 532 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,504 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,631 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,070 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,131 0.01 0.2%
Leg 672 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,840 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,466 0.064 1.3%
Rar 10,038 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,776 0.01 0.2%
Leg 560 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,394 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,370 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,344 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,292 0.01 0.2%
Leg 388 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 15,301 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,312 0.066 1.3%
Rar 6,486 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,145 0.01 0.2%
Leg 358 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

SA

Total: 16,877 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,736 0.08 1.6%
Rar 6,559 0.06 1.2%
Epi 1,206 0.011 0.2%
Leg 376 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.5

DMF

Total: 9,323 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 5,030 0.096 1.9%
Rar 3,506 0.067 1.3%
Epi 605 0.012 0.2%
Leg 182 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.5