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Insights Last Updated: February 21, 2020 - 14:13 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,910,107 packs. 14,550,535 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,411,668 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,329,509 1.14 22.9%
Epi 642,194 0.22 4.4%
Leg 167,164 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 562,947 packs. 2,814,735 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,009,322 3.569 71.4%
Rar 644,896 1.146 22.9%
Epi 127,340 0.226 4.5%
Leg 33,177 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.9

GC

Total: 734 packs. 3,670 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,641 3.598 72.0%
Rar 829 1.129 22.6%
Epi 165 0.225 4.5%
Leg 35 0.048 1.0%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 47.7

GvG

Total: 3,976 packs. 19,880 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 14,185 3.568 71.4%
Rar 4,564 1.148 23.0%
Epi 882 0.222 4.4%
Leg 249 0.063 1.3%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 62.6

TGT

Total: 12,921 packs. 64,605 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 46,189 3.575 71.5%
Rar 14,865 1.15 23.0%
Epi 2,833 0.219 4.4%
Leg 718 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

TOG

Total: 114,609 packs. 573,045 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 410,322 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,303 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,126 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,294 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,075 packs. 595,375 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 426,568 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,335 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,014 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,458 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 295,746 packs. 1,478,730 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,059,271 3.582 71.6%
Rar 338,254 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,747 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,458 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 358,409 packs. 1,792,045 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,283,633 3.581 71.6%
Rar 409,783 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,032 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,597 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 285,038 packs. 1,425,190 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,019,950 3.578 71.6%
Rar 325,801 1.143 22.9%
Epi 62,998 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,441 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 278,077 packs. 1,390,385 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 995,043 3.578 71.6%
Rar 318,145 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,245 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,952 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 253,249 packs. 1,266,245 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 906,571 3.58 71.6%
Rar 289,537 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,573 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,564 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 171,094 packs. 855,470 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 612,644 3.581 71.6%
Rar 195,328 1.142 22.8%
Epi 37,642 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,856 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

ROS

Total: 193,151 packs. 965,755 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 691,348 3.579 71.6%
Rar 221,036 1.144 22.9%
Epi 42,262 0.219 4.4%
Leg 11,109 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 157,992 packs. 789,960 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 565,237 3.578 71.6%
Rar 181,018 1.146 22.9%
Epi 34,714 0.22 4.4%
Leg 8,991 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.9

DoD

Total: 103,089 packs. 515,445 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 368,744 3.577 71.5%
Rar 117,815 1.143 22.9%
Epi 22,621 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,265 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.8

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 403,283 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 192,540 0.07 1.3%
Rar 168,177 0.06 1.2%
Epi 31,707 0.01 0.2%
Leg 10,859 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 85,009 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 40,194 0.071 1.4%
Rar 34,159 0.061 1.2%
Epi 7,388 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,268 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.8

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.04 0.8%
Rar 22 0.03 0.6%
Epi 5 0.007 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.7

GvG

Total: 685 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 317 0.08 1.6%
Rar 284 0.071 1.4%
Epi 57 0.014 0.3%
Leg 27 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.8

TGT

Total: 1,998 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 940 0.073 1.5%
Rar 836 0.065 1.3%
Epi 167 0.013 0.3%
Leg 55 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.3

TOG

Total: 17,216 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,242 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,177 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,335 0.012 0.2%
Leg 462 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,344 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,286 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,241 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,374 0.012 0.2%
Leg 443 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,463 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,033 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,153 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,195 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,082 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,772 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,845 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,190 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,644 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,093 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 38,257 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,363 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,135 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,906 0.01 0.2%
Leg 853 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,637 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,090 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,875 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,828 0.01 0.2%
Leg 844 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 34,803 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,805 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,649 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,555 0.01 0.2%
Leg 794 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,046 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,118 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,705 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,699 0.01 0.2%
Leg 524 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

ROS

Total: 25,961 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,406 0.064 1.3%
Rar 11,011 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,929 0.01 0.2%
Leg 615 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 21,094 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,132 0.064 1.3%
Rar 8,890 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,582 0.01 0.2%
Leg 490 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 13,940 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 6,740 0.065 1.3%
Rar 5,850 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,043 0.01 0.2%
Leg 307 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0