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Insights Last Updated: January 20, 2019 - 16:09 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,139,703 packs. 10,698,515 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,655,429 3.58 71.6%
Rar 2,448,105 1.14 22.9%
Epi 472,188 0.22 4.4%
Leg 122,793 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 422,246 packs. 2,111,230 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,506,664 3.568 71.4%
Rar 483,765 1.146 22.9%
Epi 95,652 0.227 4.5%
Leg 25,149 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.6

GvG

Total: 2,592 packs. 12,960 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,242 3.566 71.3%
Rar 2,985 1.152 23.0%
Epi 574 0.221 4.4%
Leg 159 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 61.3

TGT

Total: 12,026 packs. 60,130 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,962 3.572 71.4%
Rar 13,858 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,642 0.22 4.4%
Leg 668 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.5

TOG

Total: 113,540 packs. 567,700 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 406,525 3.58 71.6%
Rar 130,061 1.146 22.9%
Epi 24,886 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,228 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 117,941 packs. 589,705 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 422,547 3.583 71.7%
Rar 135,039 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,732 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,387 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 291,441 packs. 1,457,205 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,043,848 3.582 71.6%
Rar 333,339 1.144 22.9%
Epi 63,807 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,211 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 352,569 packs. 1,762,845 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,262,762 3.582 71.6%
Rar 403,090 1.143 22.9%
Epi 76,727 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,266 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 278,057 packs. 1,390,285 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 994,897 3.578 71.6%
Rar 317,845 1.143 22.9%
Epi 61,486 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,057 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 250,368 packs. 1,251,840 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 895,875 3.578 71.6%
Rar 286,420 1.144 22.9%
Epi 55,107 0.22 4.4%
Leg 14,438 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

BDP

Total: 213,036 packs. 1,065,180 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 762,556 3.579 71.6%
Rar 243,660 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,695 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,269 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 85,887 packs. 429,435 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 307,551 3.581 71.6%
Rar 98,043 1.142 22.8%
Epi 18,880 0.22 4.4%
Leg 4,961 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.8

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 297,985 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 142,045 0.07 1.3%
Rar 124,031 0.06 1.2%
Epi 23,694 0.01 0.2%
Leg 8,215 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 64,414 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 30,314 0.072 1.4%
Rar 25,759 0.061 1.2%
Epi 5,725 0.014 0.3%
Leg 2,616 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.2

GvG

Total: 443 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 208 0.08 1.6%
Rar 181 0.07 1.4%
Epi 36 0.014 0.3%
Leg 18 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.9

TGT

Total: 1,850 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 868 0.072 1.4%
Rar 776 0.065 1.3%
Epi 158 0.013 0.3%
Leg 48 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

TOG

Total: 17,050 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,167 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,111 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,319 0.012 0.2%
Leg 453 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,160 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,204 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,166 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,352 0.011 0.2%
Leg 438 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 37,853 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,747 0.061 1.2%
Rar 15,909 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,138 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,059 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 46,961 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,451 0.064 1.3%
Rar 19,860 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,584 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,066 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 37,384 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,943 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,758 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,847 0.01 0.2%
Leg 836 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 33,904 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,327 0.065 1.3%
Rar 14,278 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,552 0.01 0.2%
Leg 747 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 29,235 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 14,133 0.066 1.3%
Rar 12,309 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,133 0.01 0.2%
Leg 660 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 11,731 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 5,683 0.066 1.3%
Rar 4,924 0.057 1.1%
Epi 850 0.01 0.2%
Leg 274 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2