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Insights Last Updated: June 4, 2020 - 10:14 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,077,389 packs. 15,386,945 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,010,335 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,520,873 1.14 22.9%
Epi 679,028 0.22 4.4%
Leg 176,709 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 594,583 packs. 2,972,915 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,122,311 3.569 71.4%
Rar 681,216 1.146 22.9%
Epi 134,421 0.226 4.5%
Leg 34,967 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.8

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,068 packs. 25,340 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,079 3.567 71.3%
Rar 5,820 1.148 23.0%
Epi 1,134 0.224 4.5%
Leg 307 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.6

TGT

Total: 13,099 packs. 65,495 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 46,816 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,066 1.15 23.0%
Epi 2,884 0.22 4.4%
Leg 729 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

TOG

Total: 114,974 packs. 574,870 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 411,627 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,719 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,208 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,316 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,388 packs. 596,940 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 427,688 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,691 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,087 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,474 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 296,900 packs. 1,484,500 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,063,411 3.582 71.6%
Rar 339,569 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,999 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,521 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 359,082 packs. 1,795,410 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,286,032 3.581 71.6%
Rar 410,550 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,188 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,640 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 285,749 packs. 1,428,745 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,022,493 3.578 71.6%
Rar 326,611 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,157 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,484 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 278,813 packs. 1,394,065 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 997,669 3.578 71.6%
Rar 318,990 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,415 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,991 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 254,469 packs. 1,272,345 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 910,927 3.58 71.6%
Rar 290,948 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,828 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,642 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 172,252 packs. 861,260 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 616,826 3.581 71.6%
Rar 196,617 1.141 22.8%
Epi 37,893 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,924 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 208,208 packs. 1,041,040 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 745,272 3.579 71.6%
Rar 238,253 1.144 22.9%
Epi 45,545 0.219 4.4%
Leg 11,970 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 173,278 packs. 866,390 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 619,977 3.578 71.6%
Rar 198,456 1.145 22.9%
Epi 38,077 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,880 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

DoD

Total: 123,287 packs. 616,435 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 441,072 3.578 71.6%
Rar 140,901 1.143 22.9%
Epi 27,039 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,423 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.2

Outland

Total: 77,449 packs. 387,245 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 277,290 3.58 71.6%
Rar 88,573 1.144 22.9%
Epi 16,978 0.219 4.4%
Leg 4,404 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.9

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 426,502 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 203,680 0.07 1.3%
Rar 177,912 0.06 1.2%
Epi 33,497 0.01 0.2%
Leg 11,413 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 89,769 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,498 0.071 1.4%
Rar 36,100 0.061 1.2%
Epi 7,782 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,389 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 807 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 375 0.074 1.5%
Rar 334 0.066 1.3%
Epi 69 0.014 0.3%
Leg 29 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

TGT

Total: 2,035 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 955 0.073 1.5%
Rar 852 0.065 1.3%
Epi 172 0.013 0.3%
Leg 56 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.3

TOG

Total: 17,256 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,260 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,193 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,340 0.012 0.2%
Leg 463 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,383 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,303 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,259 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,377 0.012 0.2%
Leg 444 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,610 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,099 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,217 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,209 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,085 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,869 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,884 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,235 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,652 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,098 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,375 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,422 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,184 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,913 0.01 0.2%
Leg 856 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,727 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,130 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,914 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,837 0.01 0.2%
Leg 846 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 34,992 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,902 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,728 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,564 0.01 0.2%
Leg 798 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,227 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,206 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,778 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,715 0.01 0.2%
Leg 528 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,026 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,407 0.064 1.3%
Rar 11,873 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,091 0.01 0.2%
Leg 655 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Uldum

Total: 23,037 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,081 0.064 1.3%
Rar 9,698 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,726 0.01 0.2%
Leg 532 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 16,617 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,980 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,028 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,236 0.01 0.2%
Leg 373 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 10,714 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 5,149 0.066 1.3%
Rar 4,497 0.058 1.2%
Epi 809 0.01 0.2%
Leg 259 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.3