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PityTracker is ready for Ashes of Outland! You can open your packs now. Remember to try the Batch Add Page for longer opening sessions.

Happy pack openings, everyone! And if you're looking for new decks to play, check out our sister site at hearthstonemetadecks.com. :-)

Insights Last Updated: April 5, 2020 - 13:14 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,960,393 packs. 14,801,965 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,591,550 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,387,062 1.14 22.9%
Epi 653,319 0.22 4.4%
Leg 170,034 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 577,377 packs. 2,886,885 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,060,800 3.569 71.4%
Rar 661,483 1.146 22.9%
Epi 130,601 0.226 4.5%
Leg 34,001 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.9

GC

Total: 737 packs. 3,685 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,653 3.6 72.0%
Rar 832 1.129 22.6%
Epi 165 0.224 4.5%
Leg 35 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 47.5

GvG

Total: 4,613 packs. 23,065 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,478 3.572 71.4%
Rar 5,286 1.146 22.9%
Epi 1,020 0.221 4.4%
Leg 281 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.9

TGT

Total: 12,945 packs. 64,725 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 46,273 3.575 71.5%
Rar 14,895 1.151 23.0%
Epi 2,838 0.219 4.4%
Leg 719 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.5

TOG

Total: 114,903 packs. 574,515 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 411,373 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,639 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,191 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,312 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,292 packs. 596,460 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 427,340 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,587 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,066 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,467 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 296,490 packs. 1,482,450 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,061,948 3.582 71.6%
Rar 339,092 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,911 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,499 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 358,679 packs. 1,793,395 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,284,594 3.581 71.6%
Rar 410,084 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,101 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,616 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 285,258 packs. 1,426,290 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,020,740 3.578 71.6%
Rar 326,046 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,053 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,451 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 278,510 packs. 1,392,550 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 996,589 3.578 71.6%
Rar 318,644 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,346 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,971 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.3

BDP

Total: 253,902 packs. 1,269,510 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 908,890 3.58 71.6%
Rar 290,305 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,705 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,610 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 171,786 packs. 858,930 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 615,134 3.581 71.6%
Rar 196,092 1.141 22.8%
Epi 37,802 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,902 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

ROS

Total: 202,105 packs. 1,010,525 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 723,438 3.58 71.6%
Rar 231,266 1.144 22.9%
Epi 44,191 0.219 4.4%
Leg 11,630 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 166,640 packs. 833,200 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 596,191 3.578 71.6%
Rar 190,883 1.145 22.9%
Epi 36,628 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,498 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

DoD

Total: 115,117 packs. 575,585 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 411,802 3.577 71.5%
Rar 131,586 1.143 22.9%
Epi 25,261 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,936 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.3

BT

Total: 2,039 packs. 10,195 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,307 3.584 71.7%
Rar 2,342 1.149 23.0%
Epi 440 0.216 4.3%
Leg 106 0.052 1.0%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 52.0

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 410,219 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 195,808 0.07 1.3%
Rar 171,119 0.06 1.2%
Epi 32,274 0.01 0.2%
Leg 11,018 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 87,142 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 41,188 0.071 1.4%
Rar 35,064 0.061 1.2%
Epi 7,571 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,319 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.039 0.8%
Rar 22 0.03 0.6%
Epi 5 0.007 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.7

GvG

Total: 762 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 352 0.076 1.5%
Rar 319 0.069 1.4%
Epi 63 0.014 0.3%
Leg 28 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.1

TGT

Total: 2,002 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 941 0.073 1.5%
Rar 838 0.065 1.3%
Epi 168 0.013 0.3%
Leg 55 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.2

TOG

Total: 17,247 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,256 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,190 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,339 0.012 0.2%
Leg 462 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,375 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,299 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,256 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,377 0.012 0.2%
Leg 443 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,556 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,074 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,190 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,207 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,085 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,809 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,862 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,206 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,646 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,095 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,292 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,379 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,149 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,911 0.01 0.2%
Leg 853 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,687 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,112 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,896 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,835 0.01 0.2%
Leg 844 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 34,906 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,858 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,691 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,561 0.01 0.2%
Leg 796 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,167 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,173 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,758 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,710 0.01 0.2%
Leg 526 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

ROS

Total: 27,185 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,998 0.064 1.3%
Rar 11,513 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,031 0.01 0.2%
Leg 643 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 22,205 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,671 0.064 1.3%
Rar 9,358 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,663 0.01 0.2%
Leg 513 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 15,557 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,486 0.065 1.3%
Rar 6,557 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,167 0.01 0.2%
Leg 347 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BT

Total: 269 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 130 0.064 1.3%
Rar 112 0.055 1.1%
Epi 20 0.01 0.2%
Leg 7 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.4