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Insights Last Updated: March 23, 2019 - 01:09 CET

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,227,629 packs. 11,138,147 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,969,980 3.58 71.6%
Rar 2,548,634 1.14 22.9%
Epi 491,699 0.22 4.4%
Leg 127,834 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 451,838 packs. 2,259,192 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,612,279 3.568 71.4%
Rar 517,722 1.146 22.9%
Epi 102,343 0.227 4.5%
Leg 26,848 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.4

GvG

Total: 2,648 packs. 13,240 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,435 3.563 71.3%
Rar 3,049 1.151 23.0%
Epi 593 0.224 4.5%
Leg 163 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 61.6

TGT

Total: 12,036 packs. 60,180 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,995 3.572 71.4%
Rar 13,871 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,645 0.22 4.4%
Leg 669 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

TOG

Total: 113,939 packs. 569,695 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 407,943 3.58 71.6%
Rar 130,523 1.146 22.9%
Epi 24,977 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,252 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 118,291 packs. 591,455 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 423,794 3.583 71.7%
Rar 135,442 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,813 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,406 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 292,235 packs. 1,461,175 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,046,701 3.582 71.6%
Rar 334,239 1.144 22.9%
Epi 63,974 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,261 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 354,053 packs. 1,770,265 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,268,046 3.582 71.6%
Rar 404,796 1.143 22.9%
Epi 77,068 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,355 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 280,035 packs. 1,400,175 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,001,988 3.578 71.6%
Rar 320,113 1.143 22.9%
Epi 61,902 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,172 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 256,803 packs. 1,284,015 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 918,888 3.578 71.6%
Rar 293,798 1.144 22.9%
Epi 56,540 0.22 4.4%
Leg 14,789 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

BDP

Total: 220,765 packs. 1,103,825 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 790,260 3.58 71.6%
Rar 252,441 1.143 22.9%
Epi 48,421 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,703 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

RASTA

Total: 124,986 packs. 624,930 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 447,651 3.582 71.6%
Rar 142,640 1.141 22.8%
Epi 27,423 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,216 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 309,891 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 147,721 0.07 1.3%
Rar 129,001 0.06 1.2%
Epi 24,639 0.01 0.2%
Leg 8,530 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 68,673 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 32,334 0.072 1.4%
Rar 27,512 0.061 1.2%
Epi 6,064 0.013 0.3%
Leg 2,763 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.1

GvG

Total: 454 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 213 0.08 1.6%
Rar 186 0.07 1.4%
Epi 36 0.014 0.3%
Leg 19 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 7.2

TGT

Total: 1,853 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 869 0.072 1.4%
Rar 777 0.065 1.3%
Epi 159 0.013 0.3%
Leg 48 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

TOG

Total: 17,113 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,196 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,136 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,325 0.012 0.2%
Leg 456 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,228 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,238 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,197 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,355 0.011 0.2%
Leg 438 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 37,963 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,797 0.061 1.2%
Rar 15,957 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,145 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,064 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 47,177 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,553 0.064 1.3%
Rar 19,948 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,604 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,072 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 37,627 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,061 0.064 1.3%
Rar 15,866 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,861 0.01 0.2%
Leg 839 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 34,768 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,731 0.065 1.3%
Rar 14,632 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,636 0.01 0.2%
Leg 769 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 30,236 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 14,598 0.066 1.3%
Rar 12,739 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,218 0.01 0.2%
Leg 681 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 16,799 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,131 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,051 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,236 0.01 0.2%
Leg 381 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0