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Insights Last Updated: August 13, 2020 - 22:15 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,174,455 packs. 15,872,275 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,357,815 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,631,823 1.14 22.9%
Epi 700,379 0.22 4.4%
Leg 182,258 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 607,953 packs. 3,039,765 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,170,088 3.569 71.4%
Rar 696,537 1.146 22.9%
Epi 137,409 0.226 4.5%
Leg 35,731 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.8

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,382 packs. 26,910 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 19,195 3.567 71.3%
Rar 6,178 1.148 23.0%
Epi 1,210 0.225 4.5%
Leg 327 0.061 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.8

TGT

Total: 13,203 packs. 66,015 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 47,189 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,183 1.15 23.0%
Epi 2,906 0.22 4.4%
Leg 737 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.8

TOG

Total: 114,991 packs. 574,955 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 411,687 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,740 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,212 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,316 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 119,415 packs. 597,075 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 427,786 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,720 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,094 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,475 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 296,993 packs. 1,484,965 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,063,734 3.582 71.6%
Rar 339,679 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,023 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,529 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 359,422 packs. 1,797,110 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,287,264 3.581 71.6%
Rar 410,942 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,252 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,652 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,093 packs. 1,430,465 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,023,727 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,014 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,222 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,502 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,196 packs. 1,395,980 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 999,037 3.578 71.6%
Rar 319,421 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,504 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,018 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 254,775 packs. 1,273,875 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 912,021 3.58 71.6%
Rar 291,296 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,894 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,664 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 172,505 packs. 862,525 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 617,725 3.581 71.6%
Rar 196,915 1.142 22.8%
Epi 37,940 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,945 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

RoS

Total: 210,556 packs. 1,052,780 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 753,640 3.579 71.6%
Rar 240,963 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,078 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,099 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Uldum

Total: 176,619 packs. 883,095 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 631,910 3.578 71.6%
Rar 202,283 1.145 22.9%
Epi 38,827 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,075 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

DoD

Total: 126,263 packs. 631,315 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 451,717 3.578 71.6%
Rar 144,297 1.143 22.9%
Epi 27,698 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,603 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.2

Outland

Total: 101,416 packs. 507,080 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 363,135 3.581 71.6%
Rar 115,954 1.143 22.9%
Epi 22,245 0.219 4.4%
Leg 5,746 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.7

SA

Total: 48,883 packs. 244,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 175,115 3.582 71.6%
Rar 55,808 1.142 22.8%
Epi 10,690 0.219 4.4%
Leg 2,802 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.3

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 441,556 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 211,346 0.07 1.3%
Rar 183,862 0.06 1.2%
Epi 34,577 0.01 0.2%
Leg 11,771 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 91,625 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 43,376 0.071 1.4%
Rar 36,870 0.061 1.2%
Epi 7,927 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,452 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.7

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 884 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 415 0.077 1.5%
Rar 362 0.067 1.3%
Epi 76 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.8

TGT

Total: 2,055 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 965 0.073 1.5%
Rar 860 0.065 1.3%
Epi 173 0.013 0.3%
Leg 57 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.3

TOG

Total: 17,258 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,261 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,194 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,340 0.012 0.2%
Leg 463 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,385 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,305 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,259 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,377 0.012 0.2%
Leg 444 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,627 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,107 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,224 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,210 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,086 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,922 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,910 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,258 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,655 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,099 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,423 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,443 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,209 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,915 0.01 0.2%
Leg 856 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,777 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,155 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,935 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,840 0.01 0.2%
Leg 847 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 35,043 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,929 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,748 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,567 0.01 0.2%
Leg 799 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,261 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,221 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,794 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,717 0.01 0.2%
Leg 529 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,376 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,570 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,018 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,121 0.01 0.2%
Leg 667 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,519 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,318 0.064 1.3%
Rar 9,901 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,754 0.01 0.2%
Leg 546 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,007 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,174 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,188 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,264 0.01 0.2%
Leg 381 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 13,905 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 6,660 0.066 1.3%
Rar 5,874 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,037 0.01 0.2%
Leg 334 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.3

SA

Total: 8,431 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 4,508 0.092 1.8%
Rar 3,146 0.064 1.3%
Epi 599 0.012 0.2%
Leg 178 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6