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Insights Last Updated: April 10, 2021 - 14:15 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,425,918 packs. 17,129,590 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,258,112 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,919,096 1.14 22.9%
Epi 755,672 0.22 4.4%
Leg 196,710 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 639,160 packs. 3,195,800 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,281,590 3.57 71.4%
Rar 732,310 1.146 22.9%
Epi 144,389 0.226 4.5%
Leg 37,511 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.7

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,976 packs. 29,880 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 21,311 3.566 71.3%
Rar 6,864 1.149 23.0%
Epi 1,346 0.225 4.5%
Leg 359 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.1

TGT

Total: 13,619 packs. 68,095 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 48,678 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,647 1.149 23.0%
Epi 3,004 0.221 4.4%
Leg 766 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.2

TOG

Total: 115,272 packs. 576,360 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 412,694 3.58 71.6%
Rar 132,060 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,273 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,333 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 120,083 packs. 600,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 430,164 3.582 71.6%
Rar 137,489 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,248 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,514 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 297,464 packs. 1,487,320 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,065,408 3.582 71.6%
Rar 340,223 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,133 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,556 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 360,421 packs. 1,802,105 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,290,845 3.581 71.6%
Rar 412,088 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,457 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,715 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,656 packs. 1,433,280 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,025,757 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,654 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,337 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,532 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,751 packs. 1,398,755 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,001,012 3.578 71.6%
Rar 320,051 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,635 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,057 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 255,758 packs. 1,278,790 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 915,512 3.58 71.6%
Rar 292,429 1.143 22.9%
Epi 56,129 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,720 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 173,701 packs. 868,505 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 622,011 3.581 71.6%
Rar 198,285 1.142 22.8%
Epi 38,198 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,011 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 211,746 packs. 1,058,730 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 757,865 3.579 71.6%
Rar 242,333 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,342 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,190 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Uldum

Total: 179,445 packs. 897,225 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 642,019 3.578 71.6%
Rar 205,496 1.145 22.9%
Epi 39,465 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,245 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.1

DoD

Total: 129,724 packs. 648,620 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 464,138 3.578 71.6%
Rar 148,228 1.143 22.9%
Epi 28,436 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,818 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.3

Outland

Total: 112,515 packs. 562,575 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 402,738 3.579 71.6%
Rar 128,746 1.144 22.9%
Epi 24,720 0.22 4.4%
Leg 6,371 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.6

SA

Total: 114,489 packs. 572,445 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 410,003 3.581 71.6%
Rar 130,783 1.142 22.8%
Epi 25,092 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,567 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

DMF

Total: 89,831 packs. 449,155 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 321,557 3.58 71.6%
Rar 102,694 1.143 22.9%
Epi 19,749 0.22 4.4%
Leg 5,155 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Barrens

Total: 39,517 packs. 197,585 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 141,965 3.593 71.9%
Rar 44,823 1.134 22.7%
Epi 8,544 0.216 4.3%
Leg 2,253 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.0

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 479,435 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 230,493 0.07 1.4%
Rar 198,984 0.06 1.2%
Epi 37,316 0.01 0.2%
Leg 12,642 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 96,237 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 45,581 0.071 1.4%
Rar 38,759 0.061 1.2%
Epi 8,303 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,594 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.6

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 964 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 447 0.075 1.5%
Rar 402 0.067 1.3%
Epi 84 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.005 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.2

TGT

Total: 2,130 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,002 0.074 1.5%
Rar 888 0.065 1.3%
Epi 179 0.013 0.3%
Leg 61 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.5

TOG

Total: 17,307 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,284 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,214 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,345 0.012 0.2%
Leg 464 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,500 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,359 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,305 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,385 0.012 0.2%
Leg 451 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

UNG

Total: 38,696 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,136 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,255 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,215 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,090 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 48,054 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,968 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,318 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,663 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,105 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,500 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,482 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,241 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,920 0.01 0.2%
Leg 857 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,872 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,198 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,970 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,849 0.01 0.2%
Leg 855 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

BDP

Total: 35,179 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,990 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,802 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,584 0.01 0.2%
Leg 803 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,481 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,328 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,884 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,734 0.01 0.2%
Leg 535 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,555 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,654 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,093 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,135 0.01 0.2%
Leg 673 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,898 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,496 0.064 1.3%
Rar 10,063 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,777 0.01 0.2%
Leg 562 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,454 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,400 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,366 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,299 0.01 0.2%
Leg 389 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 15,415 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,365 0.065 1.3%
Rar 6,530 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,159 0.01 0.2%
Leg 361 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

SA

Total: 17,644 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,114 0.08 1.6%
Rar 6,874 0.06 1.2%
Epi 1,262 0.011 0.2%
Leg 394 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.4

DMF

Total: 14,527 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,577 0.084 1.7%
Rar 5,642 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,010 0.011 0.2%
Leg 298 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.3

Barrens

Total: 5,964 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 3,083 0.078 1.6%
Rar 2,356 0.06 1.2%
Epi 408 0.01 0.2%
Leg 117 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0