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Insights Last Updated: July 16, 2018 - 02:05 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 1,638,134 packs. 8,190,675 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 5,862,153 3.58 71.6%
Rar 1,874,052 1.14 22.9%
Epi 360,956 0.22 4.4%
Leg 93,514 0.06 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.1

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 297,221 packs. 1,486,105 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,060,995 3.57 71.4%
Rar 340,192 1.145 22.9%
Epi 67,356 0.227 4.5%
Leg 17,562 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.1

GvG

Total: 2,165 packs. 10,825 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,720 3.566 71.3%
Rar 2,496 1.153 23.1%
Epi 479 0.221 4.4%
Leg 130 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.0

TGT

Total: 11,796 packs. 58,980 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 42,165 3.575 71.5%
Rar 13,584 1.152 23.0%
Epi 2,584 0.219 4.4%
Leg 647 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.8

TOG

Total: 113,030 packs. 565,150 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 404,712 3.581 71.6%
Rar 129,478 1.146 22.9%
Epi 24,762 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,198 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.8

MSG

Total: 117,236 packs. 586,180 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 420,031 3.583 71.7%
Rar 134,231 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,581 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,337 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.1

UNG

Total: 284,532 packs. 1,422,660 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,019,100 3.582 71.6%
Rar 325,475 1.144 22.9%
Epi 62,269 0.219 4.4%
Leg 15,816 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 332,288 packs. 1,661,445 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,190,260 3.582 71.6%
Rar 379,904 1.143 22.9%
Epi 72,182 0.217 4.3%
Leg 19,099 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 264,889 packs. 1,324,445 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 947,871 3.578 71.6%
Rar 302,743 1.143 22.9%
Epi 58,519 0.221 4.4%
Leg 15,312 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.8

WW

Total: 214,977 packs. 1,074,885 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 769,299 3.579 71.6%
Rar 245,949 1.144 22.9%
Epi 47,224 0.22 4.4%
Leg 12,413 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 227,165 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 108,202 0.07 1.3%
Rar 94,616 0.06 1.2%
Epi 18,196 0.01 0.2%
Leg 6,151 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 45,570 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 21,563 0.073 1.5%
Rar 18,156 0.061 1.2%
Epi 4,094 0.014 0.3%
Leg 1,757 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.9

GvG

Total: 362 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 168 0.078 1.6%
Rar 148 0.068 1.4%
Epi 30 0.014 0.3%
Leg 16 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 7.4

TGT

Total: 1,809 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 853 0.072 1.4%
Rar 760 0.064 1.3%
Epi 154 0.013 0.3%
Leg 42 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

TOG

Total: 16,958 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,121 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,077 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,313 0.012 0.2%
Leg 447 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,017 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,143 0.069 1.4%
Rar 7,108 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,335 0.011 0.2%
Leg 431 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 36,880 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,295 0.061 1.2%
Rar 15,505 0.054 1.1%
Epi 3,058 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,022 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.6

KFT

Total: 43,981 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 21,054 0.063 1.3%
Rar 18,603 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,329 0.01 0.2%
Leg 995 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 35,698 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,100 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,068 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,731 0.01 0.2%
Leg 799 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 28,890 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,905 0.065 1.3%
Rar 12,191 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,152 0.01 0.2%
Leg 642 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0