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Insights Last Updated: September 20, 2019 - 08:12 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 2,652,989 packs. 13,264,945 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,492,066 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,035,280 1.14 22.9%
Epi 585,469 0.22 4.4%
Leg 152,130 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.3

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 518,012 packs. 2,590,060 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,848,758 3.569 71.4%
Rar 593,427 1.146 22.9%
Epi 117,244 0.226 4.5%
Leg 30,631 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 59.1

GC

Total: 292 packs. 1,460 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,056 3.616 72.3%
Rar 333 1.14 22.8%
Epi 59 0.202 4.0%
Leg 12 0.041 0.8%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 41.1

GvG

Total: 3,319 packs. 16,595 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,830 3.564 71.3%
Rar 3,815 1.149 23.0%
Epi 744 0.224 4.5%
Leg 206 0.062 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 62.1

TGT

Total: 12,558 packs. 62,790 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 44,880 3.574 71.5%
Rar 14,454 1.151 23.0%
Epi 2,759 0.22 4.4%
Leg 697 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.5

TOG

Total: 114,479 packs. 572,395 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 409,862 3.58 71.6%
Rar 131,149 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,102 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,282 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 118,899 packs. 594,495 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 425,934 3.582 71.6%
Rar 136,136 1.145 22.9%
Epi 25,977 0.218 4.4%
Leg 6,448 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 295,482 packs. 1,477,410 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,058,333 3.582 71.6%
Rar 337,954 1.144 22.9%
Epi 64,685 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,438 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.6

KFT

Total: 357,912 packs. 1,789,560 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,281,864 3.582 71.6%
Rar 409,212 1.143 22.9%
Epi 77,919 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,565 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 284,420 packs. 1,422,100 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,017,741 3.578 71.6%
Rar 325,105 1.143 22.9%
Epi 62,854 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,400 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 274,222 packs. 1,371,110 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 981,292 3.578 71.6%
Rar 313,714 1.144 22.9%
Epi 60,371 0.22 4.4%
Leg 15,733 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 250,756 packs. 1,253,780 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 897,671 3.58 71.6%
Rar 286,698 1.143 22.9%
Epi 55,009 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,402 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

RASTA

Total: 162,640 packs. 813,200 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 582,354 3.581 71.6%
Rar 185,685 1.142 22.8%
Epi 35,793 0.22 4.4%
Leg 9,368 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

ROS

Total: 168,011 packs. 840,055 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 601,422 3.58 71.6%
Rar 192,197 1.144 22.9%
Epi 36,751 0.219 4.4%
Leg 9,685 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Uldum

Total: 91,987 packs. 459,935 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 329,069 3.577 71.5%
Rar 105,401 1.146 22.9%
Epi 20,202 0.22 4.4%
Leg 5,263 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.2

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 367,757 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 175,376 0.07 1.3%
Rar 153,391 0.06 1.2%
Epi 29,010 0.01 0.2%
Leg 9,980 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 78,226 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 36,878 0.071 1.4%
Rar 31,433 0.061 1.2%
Epi 6,856 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,059 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.9

GC

Total: 56 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 28 0.096 1.9%
Rar 22 0.075 1.5%
Epi 5 0.017 0.3%
Leg 1 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.4

GvG

Total: 571 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 265 0.08 1.6%
Rar 238 0.072 1.4%
Epi 46 0.014 0.3%
Leg 22 0.007 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 6.6

TGT

Total: 1,942 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 911 0.073 1.5%
Rar 813 0.065 1.3%
Epi 165 0.013 0.3%
Leg 53 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.2

TOG

Total: 17,198 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,237 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,170 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,332 0.012 0.2%
Leg 459 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,314 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,267 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,233 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,371 0.012 0.2%
Leg 443 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

UNG

Total: 38,426 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,017 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,139 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,191 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,079 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 47,713 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,819 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,165 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,638 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,091 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Kobolds

Total: 38,173 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,323 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,105 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,897 0.01 0.2%
Leg 848 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,129 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 17,860 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,653 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,791 0.01 0.2%
Leg 825 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

BDP

Total: 34,455 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,642 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,500 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,529 0.01 0.2%
Leg 784 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 21,867 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,547 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,208 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,615 0.01 0.2%
Leg 497 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

ROS

Total: 22,536 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 10,776 0.064 1.3%
Rar 9,562 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,666 0.01 0.2%
Leg 532 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 12,151 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 5,806 0.063 1.3%
Rar 5,150 0.056 1.1%
Epi 908 0.01 0.2%
Leg 287 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1