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Insights Last Updated: June 16, 2021 - 00:17 CEST

Here you can find a number of insights we've gained. If you're interested to know something else, feel free to contact us.


Pack Opening Statistics - All Cards Normal and golden cards

Only data is considered where one user has opened at least 100 packs in the set.

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets

Total: 3,452,894 packs. 17,264,470 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 12,354,972 3.58 71.6%
Rar 3,949,689 1.14 22.9%
Epi 761,560 0.22 4.4%
Leg 198,249 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 639,851 packs. 3,199,255 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,284,050 3.57 71.4%
Rar 733,109 1.146 22.9%
Epi 144,543 0.226 4.5%
Leg 37,553 0.059 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 58.7

GC

Total: 790 packs. 3,950 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 2,845 3.601 72.0%
Rar 893 1.13 22.6%
Epi 175 0.222 4.4%
Leg 37 0.047 0.9%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 46.8

GvG

Total: 5,981 packs. 29,905 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 21,329 3.566 71.3%
Rar 6,869 1.148 23.0%
Epi 1,347 0.225 4.5%
Leg 360 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.2

TGT

Total: 13,624 packs. 68,120 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 48,695 3.574 71.5%
Rar 15,655 1.149 23.0%
Epi 3,004 0.22 4.4%
Leg 766 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.2

TOG

Total: 115,279 packs. 576,395 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 412,718 3.58 71.6%
Rar 132,069 1.146 22.9%
Epi 25,274 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,334 0.055 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.9

MSG

Total: 120,088 packs. 600,440 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 430,183 3.582 71.6%
Rar 137,495 1.145 22.9%
Epi 26,248 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,514 0.054 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 54.2

UNG

Total: 297,492 packs. 1,487,460 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,065,509 3.582 71.6%
Rar 340,255 1.144 22.9%
Epi 65,137 0.219 4.4%
Leg 16,559 0.056 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 55.7

KFT

Total: 360,437 packs. 1,802,185 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,290,900 3.581 71.6%
Rar 412,107 1.143 22.9%
Epi 78,461 0.218 4.4%
Leg 20,717 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.5

Kobolds

Total: 286,669 packs. 1,433,345 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,025,805 3.578 71.6%
Rar 327,668 1.143 22.9%
Epi 63,340 0.221 4.4%
Leg 16,532 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.7

WW

Total: 279,773 packs. 1,398,865 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,001,092 3.578 71.6%
Rar 320,075 1.144 22.9%
Epi 61,640 0.22 4.4%
Leg 16,058 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

BDP

Total: 255,813 packs. 1,279,065 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 915,712 3.58 71.6%
Rar 292,490 1.143 22.9%
Epi 56,139 0.219 4.4%
Leg 14,724 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RASTA

Total: 173,748 packs. 868,740 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 622,178 3.581 71.6%
Rar 198,339 1.142 22.8%
Epi 38,208 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,015 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

RoS

Total: 211,759 packs. 1,058,795 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 757,913 3.579 71.6%
Rar 242,347 1.144 22.9%
Epi 46,345 0.219 4.4%
Leg 12,190 0.058 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.6

Uldum

Total: 179,505 packs. 897,525 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 642,238 3.578 71.6%
Rar 205,563 1.145 22.9%
Epi 39,476 0.22 4.4%
Leg 10,248 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.1

DoD

Total: 129,893 packs. 649,465 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 464,744 3.578 71.6%
Rar 148,425 1.143 22.9%
Epi 28,469 0.219 4.4%
Leg 7,827 0.06 1.2%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 60.3

Outland

Total: 113,473 packs. 567,365 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 406,196 3.58 71.6%
Rar 129,810 1.144 22.9%
Epi 24,929 0.22 4.4%
Leg 6,430 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.7

SA

Total: 116,800 packs. 584,000 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 418,334 3.582 71.6%
Rar 133,369 1.142 22.8%
Epi 25,594 0.219 4.4%
Leg 6,703 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.4

DMF

Total: 91,961 packs. 459,805 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 329,193 3.58 71.6%
Rar 105,126 1.143 22.9%
Epi 20,213 0.22 4.4%
Leg 5,273 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 57.3

Barrens

Total: 59,958 packs. 299,790 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 215,338 3.591 71.8%
Rar 68,025 1.135 22.7%
Epi 13,018 0.217 4.3%
Leg 3,409 0.057 1.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 56.9

Additional Considerations Data as of April 10, 2017

Analysis Bias

This table shows how heavily the calculated legendaries drop rate depends on the data that is considered. If we include data from users that have added less than 100 packs per set, the legendaries drop rate - especially for Un'Goro - decreases.

The most likely explanation is that people who have entered fewer packs have not triggered their pity timers yet, however it's theoretically also possible that Blizzard has changed the pity fuction from set to set.

Packs Threshold Classic TOG MSG Ungoro
Legendaries per 1000 packs as a function of the packs threshold used for analysis
100 56.9 53.2 52.4 52.6
50 57.6 53.3 51.8 51.5
30 57.4 53.4 51.8 50.6
10 57.7 53.4 51.5 49.3

Statistical Significance

As you can see here, the distribution of legendary drop rates for individual users is a lot sharper for those who have opened at least 200 packs, as opposed to those - in this case - who have opened 50-100 packs.

In conclusion, the less packs you open, the more likely you are to get lucky or unlucky. The more packs you open, the more closely your drop rate will approach the expectation value.



Pack Opening Statistics - Golden Cards Only golden cards

CpP = Cards per Pack; PoT = Percentage of Total

All Sets

All Sets Golden

Total: 483,051 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 232,278 0.07 1.4%
Rar 200,487 0.06 1.2%
Epi 37,565 0.01 0.2%
Leg 12,721 0.0 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

Sets Individually

Classic

Total: 96,308 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 45,615 0.071 1.4%
Rar 38,792 0.061 1.2%
Epi 8,307 0.013 0.3%
Leg 3,594 0.006 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.6

GC

Total: 58 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 29 0.037 0.7%
Rar 22 0.028 0.6%
Epi 5 0.006 0.1%
Leg 2 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 2.5

GvG

Total: 966 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 448 0.075 1.5%
Rar 402 0.067 1.3%
Epi 85 0.014 0.3%
Leg 31 0.005 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 5.2

TGT

Total: 2,131 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 1,002 0.074 1.5%
Rar 889 0.065 1.3%
Epi 179 0.013 0.3%
Leg 61 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.5

TOG

Total: 17,308 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,285 0.072 1.4%
Rar 7,214 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,345 0.012 0.2%
Leg 464 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 4.0

MSG

Total: 17,501 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,360 0.07 1.4%
Rar 7,305 0.061 1.2%
Epi 1,385 0.012 0.2%
Leg 451 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.8

UNG

Total: 38,700 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,138 0.061 1.2%
Rar 16,256 0.055 1.1%
Epi 3,216 0.011 0.2%
Leg 1,090 0.004 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.7

KFT

Total: 48,055 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 22,969 0.064 1.3%
Rar 20,318 0.056 1.1%
Epi 3,663 0.01 0.2%
Leg 1,105 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

Kobolds

Total: 38,501 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,482 0.064 1.3%
Rar 16,242 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,920 0.01 0.2%
Leg 857 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

WW

Total: 37,874 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 18,199 0.065 1.3%
Rar 15,971 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,849 0.01 0.2%
Leg 855 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

BDP

Total: 35,186 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 16,995 0.066 1.3%
Rar 14,804 0.058 1.2%
Epi 2,584 0.01 0.2%
Leg 803 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RASTA

Total: 23,490 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,332 0.065 1.3%
Rar 9,888 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,735 0.01 0.2%
Leg 535 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

RoS

Total: 28,556 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 13,655 0.064 1.3%
Rar 12,093 0.057 1.1%
Epi 2,135 0.01 0.2%
Leg 673 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

Uldum

Total: 23,904 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 11,497 0.064 1.3%
Rar 10,067 0.056 1.1%
Epi 1,778 0.01 0.2%
Leg 562 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.1

DoD

Total: 17,478 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 8,413 0.065 1.3%
Rar 7,375 0.057 1.1%
Epi 1,301 0.01 0.2%
Leg 389 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0

Outland

Total: 15,538 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,430 0.065 1.3%
Rar 6,579 0.058 1.2%
Epi 1,166 0.01 0.2%
Leg 363 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.2

SA

Total: 17,923 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 9,245 0.079 1.6%
Rar 6,997 0.06 1.2%
Epi 1,279 0.011 0.2%
Leg 402 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.4

DMF

Total: 14,821 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 7,712 0.084 1.7%
Rar 5,779 0.063 1.3%
Epi 1,028 0.011 0.2%
Leg 302 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.3

Barrens

Total: 8,753 cards.

Rarity Total CpP PoT
Com 4,472 0.075 1.5%
Rar 3,494 0.058 1.2%
Epi 605 0.01 0.2%
Leg 182 0.003 0.1%
Legendaries per 1000 packs: 3.0